My OpenAI thought experiment: $500B to $1.5T?

Can AI stocks beat Big Tech? In this episode, I discuss OpenAI and its decision to expand a secondary share sale that lets insiders sell about $10.3 billion of stock at roughly a $500 billion valuation. Although skeptical at first, the calculations reveal there is a path for OpenAI to deliver outsized returns.

I cover:

(0:00) The $500B question

(01:11) Why the Nasdaq Index is the benchmark

(03:35) Inside the OpenAI-Microsoft deal

(05:50) The bull case: OpenAI’s trillion-dollar path

(09:33) The AI market explosion

(12:39) The bear case: Competition and constraints

(17:13) Exploring the models of tomorrow

(20:58) The disruption premium

(23:21) Where will OpenAI’s revenue come from?

(29:14) The final verdict

About Exponential View:
Welcome to Exponential View, where Azeem Azhar examines how exponential technologies such as AI are reshaping the future. Each week, Azeem shares his analysis or speaks with an expert guest to shed light on frontier shifts across technology, business and society.

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Where to find me:

Exponential View newsletter: https://www.exponentialview.co/
Website: https://www.azeemazhar.com/
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/azeem/
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Production by EPIIPLUS1.
Production and research: Baba Films, Marija Gavrilov.

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