UBS On-Air: Market Moves
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- 13 Nov 2026
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UBS On-Air: Market Moves brings you beyond the highs and lows of the ticker, with conversations that can broaden your thinking about market behavior
Épisodes 300
Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 77)
On this week’s episode, Burkhard joins us from the rooftop of the legendary Lingotto factory in Turin, Italy, where he outlines the case for why the AI trade has not peaked. We dive into what earnings stories …
Notes de l’épisode
On this week’s episode, Burkhard joins us from the rooftop of the legendary Lingotto factory in Turin, Italy, where he outlines the case for why the AI trade has not peaked. We dive into what earnings stories have been telling us, supply-and-demand trends, and reported long-term contracts with Semiconductor companies.Washington Weekly Podcast: Midterm reflections, Orientation week, Congressional leadership
As newly elected lawmakers make their way to Washington DC for New Member Orientation, Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Manager from Governmental Affairs US, takes us behind the scenes for a look at …
Notes de l’épisode
As newly elected lawmakers make their way to Washington DC for New Member Orientation, Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Manager from Governmental Affairs US, takes us behind the scenes for a look at what this week’s agenda consists of. We also take inventory of election result outcomes across the country that remain outstanding, how the process for naming new Congressional leadership has been shaping up, and how lawmakers are responding to this week’s AI-industry related developments. Host: Daniel CassidyUBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Up and down'
Today’s release of US October producer price inflation is expected to show higher prices, with oil leading the way. Diesel prices are directly included in this data (they are not in US consumer price numbers) …
Notes de l’épisode
Today’s release of US October producer price inflation is expected to show higher prices, with oil leading the way. Diesel prices are directly included in this data (they are not in US consumer price numbers). However, there will also be examination of the details to see if there is better evidence of tariff inflation effects fading from the calculation.UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Growth and tightness'
UK GDP continued its recent strength, with further gains in the third quarter. (The numbers are just a rough approximation, of course). Services led growth, with car and chemical imports the main offset. UK …
Notes de l’épisode
UK GDP continued its recent strength, with further gains in the third quarter. (The numbers are just a rough approximation, of course). Services led growth, with car and chemical imports the main offset. UK consumers have generally experienced a small positive real income growth, but have room to reduce savings rates and continue consuming.Top of the Morning: States - Steady at the wheel, eyes on the road
State credit remains one of the strongest parts of the municipal bond market - Jeannine Lennon, Municipal Strategist Americas from the UBS Chief Investment Office, joins to provide an overview of recent …
Notes de l’épisode
State credit remains one of the strongest parts of the municipal bond market - Jeannine Lennon, Municipal Strategist Americas from the UBS Chief Investment Office, joins to provide an overview of recent developments across the US State-sector. Jeannine outlines the condition of state credit quality, revenue and expense trends, how the One Big Beautiful Bill Act stands to shape state budget choices, and more. Host: Daniel CassidyUBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'A tale of two markets'
Equity markets seem focused on AI, but some of the details in yesterday’s stronger US consumer price inflation data matter. Groceries and electricity prices continue to rise noticeably, and have a strong …
Notes de l’épisode
Equity markets seem focused on AI, but some of the details in yesterday’s stronger US consumer price inflation data matter. Groceries and electricity prices continue to rise noticeably, and have a strong influence over inflation perceptions and affordability. Affordability concerns have not noticeably changed consumer behavior so far, but they might in future. Rising electricity prices may bolster popular resistance to data centers.Top of the Morning: Emerging Markets - Reflections on US and Brazil’s elections
The political implications of Brazil’s Presidential and the US midterm election outcomes are significant, however for investors, the bigger question is whether these results actually change the underlying …
Notes de l’épisode
The political implications of Brazil’s Presidential and the US midterm election outcomes are significant, however for investors, the bigger question is whether these results actually change the underlying economic and geopolitical forces driving markets. Alejo Czerwonko, Chief Investment Officer for Emerging Markets, discusses whether investors should be making changes to their portfolios following these two consequential elections. Host: Daniel CassidyUBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Inflation fantasies'
US October consumer price inflation is due. The element of guesswork in calculating inflation has risen recently. That is compounded by the absence of data from October 2025 to use in comparison (the legacy of …
Notes de l’épisode
US October consumer price inflation is due. The element of guesswork in calculating inflation has risen recently. That is compounded by the absence of data from October 2025 to use in comparison (the legacy of the 2025 government shutdown is still felt). Consumers are likely to perceive inflation as being higher than reported, given the undue importance placed on high-frequency purchases.Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Weeks when decades happen
The expression “there are decades where nothing happens and weeks when decades happen” has often been invoked in recent years, and it could easily apply to last week given the outcome of the US midterm …
Notes de l’épisode
The expression “there are decades where nothing happens and weeks when decades happen” has often been invoked in recent years, and it could easily apply to last week given the outcome of the US midterm elections. However, it was also a big week in financial markets, albeit for negative reasons, because investors grew increasingly nervous about the AI trade due to concerns about regulatory slowdowns to new data centers. Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas from the UBS Chief Investment Office, weighs in on the recent market movement, what it means for the investment outlook, and how to position your portfolio. Host: Daniel CassidyUBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Uncertainty continues'
The weekend has demonstrated that US policy uncertainty is likely to continue. On immigration and Iran there were contradictory signals, and the confusion about the White House press secretary demonstrates a …
Notes de l’épisode
The weekend has demonstrated that US policy uncertainty is likely to continue. On immigration and Iran there were contradictory signals, and the confusion about the White House press secretary demonstrates a general assumption of few conventional boundaries to the administration’s decisions. This uncertainty matters to expectations about the oil price, and also to firms attempting to take strategic longer term decisions.Signal Over Noise: The three math problems AI still needs to solve
The scale of AI investment is raising three critical questions: how quickly revenues can justify the infrastructure build-out, whether those revenues can translate into sustainable profits, and who will …
Notes de l’épisode
The scale of AI investment is raising three critical questions: how quickly revenues can justify the infrastructure build-out, whether those revenues can translate into sustainable profits, and who will ultimately capture them. This episode explores the constraints that could shape AI's growth trajectory, the economics of intelligence, and what the evolving competitive landscape could mean for investors.Top of the Morning: Preferred Securities - Performance & positioning
Following CIO’s recent upgrade of the Preferred Securities sector to Attractive, Frank Sileo, Senior Fixed Income Strategist Americas from the UBS Chief Investment Office, joins to explain the positioning …
Notes de l’épisode
Following CIO’s recent upgrade of the Preferred Securities sector to Attractive, Frank Sileo, Senior Fixed Income Strategist Americas from the UBS Chief Investment Office, joins to explain the positioning rationale against the current rate environment. Host: Daniel CassidyUBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Reassessing markets, not economics'
Markets have reassessed what the shifting US political landscape means for the shiny new toy of artificial intelligence. This does not mean much economically—households are not likely to change consumption …
Notes de l’épisode
Markets have reassessed what the shifting US political landscape means for the shiny new toy of artificial intelligence. This does not mean much economically—households are not likely to change consumption patterns because the Nasdaq had a bad day. Data-center builders might have to offer more “inducements” to local communities, raising project costs. Such “inducements” are economically positive—building a school generates economic activity.Top of the Morning: CEO Macro Briefing Book - Election digestion
In the wake of this week’s US midterm election outcome, Paul Hsiao, Senior Asset Allocation Strategist Americas from the UBS Chief Investment Office, joins for timely reflections on this week’s notable market …
Notes de l’épisode
In the wake of this week’s US midterm election outcome, Paul Hsiao, Senior Asset Allocation Strategist Americas from the UBS Chief Investment Office, joins for timely reflections on this week’s notable market swings, and guidance on how to position your portfolio. We also cover the implications of the election outcome to the landscapes for financing and deal-making, along with the progression of AI-buildout. Host: Daniel CassidyViewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 76)
On this week’s episode, Burkhard shares his thoughts on how and to what extent an array of factors - the US midterm elections, the recent global technology sector correction, bond markets, ongoing geopolitical …
Notes de l’épisode
On this week’s episode, Burkhard shares his thoughts on how and to what extent an array of factors - the US midterm elections, the recent global technology sector correction, bond markets, ongoing geopolitical developments, and a recent crypto heist - are weighing on minds of investors. Burkhard then goes on to reinforce why in today’s environment, it’s important to stick to your strategy, stay diversified, and not let the news make your decisions for you.UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Shifting expectations'
Markets responded positively to the US midterm election results. Expectations of policy gridlock do not solve the unsustainable US fiscal position but reduce politicians’ ability to inflict further fiscal …
Notes de l’épisode
Markets responded positively to the US midterm election results. Expectations of policy gridlock do not solve the unsustainable US fiscal position but reduce politicians’ ability to inflict further fiscal damage. US Vice President Vance blamed Republican losses on the Gulf war. That, amplified by the optimism bias, shifted expectations of a US retreat and allowed oil prices to fall.Top of the Morning: Election Day takeaways - Markets, policy & positioning
In the wake of Election Day, Kurt and Shane join to assess the outcomes of Congressional and Gubernatorial races across the US and the implications of them to the domestic and foreign policy landscape, the …
Notes de l’épisode
In the wake of Election Day, Kurt and Shane join to assess the outcomes of Congressional and Gubernatorial races across the US and the implications of them to the domestic and foreign policy landscape, the macroeconomic environment, the road ahead for AI-buildout, and financial markets. Plus, a review of CIO’s positioning recommendations and messaging as we look ahead to 2027. Featured are Kurt Reiman, Head of Fixed Income Americas from the UBS Chief Investment Office, and Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor from Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel CassidyUBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Five points'
US Democrats have decisively won the midterm elections. State results will matter to investors because data center decisions often take place at a state level and some Democrat governors are publicly opposed …
Notes de l’épisode
US Democrats have decisively won the midterm elections. State results will matter to investors because data center decisions often take place at a state level and some Democrat governors are publicly opposed. At the very least, data center builders are likely to have to offer more incentives to local communities.Credit Snapshot quarterly update with UBS Asset Management
Amir Vardi, Portfolio Manager and Head of Structured Credit along with Eileen Liu, Head of US Client Portfolio Management from the UBS Asset Management Credit Investments Group, discuss positioning …
Notes de l’épisode
Amir Vardi, Portfolio Manager and Head of Structured Credit along with Eileen Liu, Head of US Client Portfolio Management from the UBS Asset Management Credit Investments Group, discuss positioning considerations within the broader credit landscape.UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The triumph of the optimists'
Markets' optimism bias has been revived, with news that the Iranian government has been granted powers to negotiate with the US. The US midterms are a complication; but on the assumption that some in the …
Notes de l’épisode
Markets' optimism bias has been revived, with news that the Iranian government has been granted powers to negotiate with the US. The US midterms are a complication; but on the assumption that some in the administration might attempt a post-2028 political career, a US attempt to tackle the affordability crisis seems warranted.Top of the Morning: The AI Economy 4Q26 update - Part 2
In part two of a two part mini-podcast series, Andrew Dubinsky, US Economist from the UBS Chief Investment Office, joins to provide an assessment of AI’s effects on US economic activity and productivity. Host …
Notes de l’épisode
In part two of a two part mini-podcast series, Andrew Dubinsky, US Economist from the UBS Chief Investment Office, joins to provide an assessment of AI’s effects on US economic activity and productivity. Host: Daniel CassidyUBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Defiant consumers?'
Friday's market moves are attention grabbing, but economically more muted. The crypto gyrations are speculation, with little real world relevance (beyond the alleged boost to North Korea's GDP). The technology …
Notes de l’épisode
Friday's market moves are attention grabbing, but economically more muted. The crypto gyrations are speculation, with little real world relevance (beyond the alleged boost to North Korea's GDP). The technology moves reflected concerns in one sector rather than signaling a general economic crisis. US consumer behavior has followed a broadly similar pattern to that of other consumers less obviously exposed to technology equities.Signal over Noise: Finding quality beyond AI
AI disruption is leading investors to look beyond the technology leaders themselves and rethink quality in an AI-driven market. This episode explores why businesses built around essential human needs, physical …
Notes de l’épisode
AI disruption is leading investors to look beyond the technology leaders themselves and rethink quality in an AI-driven market. This episode explores why businesses built around essential human needs, physical infrastructure, and durable barriers to entry may offer a resilient complement to AI exposure.Washington Weekly Podcast: Election Day countdown, FORTRESS initiative
Shane drops by to outline the closing messages of Congressional and Gubernatorial candidates with just days to go before Election Day, along with an assessment of current polling. Plus, a look at the Pentagon’s …
Notes de l’épisode
Shane drops by to outline the closing messages of Congressional and Gubernatorial candidates with just days to go before Election Day, along with an assessment of current polling. Plus, a look at the Pentagon’s plans to update the continuity and operational resilience strategy of military bases across the US. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel CassidyUBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Dealing with the decidedly dull'
European Central Bank President Lagarde's decision to resign early (perhaps to spend more time doing book tours) was not unexpected, even if the timing was uncertain. The succession process is driven by …
Notes de l’épisode
European Central Bank President Lagarde's decision to resign early (perhaps to spend more time doing book tours) was not unexpected, even if the timing was uncertain. The succession process is driven by political horse trading, not tests of competence.Top of the Morning: FOMC reflections & US economic update
Following this week’s FOMC policy meeting, Andrew Dubinsky, US Economist from the UBS Chief Investment Office, drops by to share timely reflections and CIO’s outlook for monetary policy. We also touch on the Q3 …
Notes de l’épisode
Following this week’s FOMC policy meeting, Andrew Dubinsky, US Economist from the UBS Chief Investment Office, drops by to share timely reflections and CIO’s outlook for monetary policy. We also touch on the Q3 US GDP print, and take a health-check on the overall US economy ahead of Election Day. Host: Daniel CassidyViewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 75)
On this week’s episode, Burkhard shares takeaways from a recent visit to the Gulf States and highlights how governance continues to attract investments, technology, connectivity, and more (despite recent …
Notes de l’épisode
On this week’s episode, Burkhard shares takeaways from a recent visit to the Gulf States and highlights how governance continues to attract investments, technology, connectivity, and more (despite recent geopolitical disruptions). Burkhard then takes us to Europe to outline why a structural investment case exists (though not where you might expect). Plus, a review of factors that support continued strong performance across European markets.UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Mundanity upon mundanity'
There were no surprises from the US monetary policy decision. At the press conference, Federal Reserve Chair Warsh signaled a desire to reduce the number of policy meetings in 2027—less policy flexibility at a …
Notes de l’épisode
There were no surprises from the US monetary policy decision. At the press conference, Federal Reserve Chair Warsh signaled a desire to reduce the number of policy meetings in 2027—less policy flexibility at a time of economic and political turmoil is an interesting choice. The way is still open for further rate increases.House Call: Talking Equity Markets with UBS Asset Management
A look at what has been driving markets, how the outlook is evolving, and the key opportunities and risks investors should be thinking about looking ahead. Featured are Jeremy Zirin, Senior Portfolio Manager of …
Notes de l’épisode
A look at what has been driving markets, how the outlook is evolving, and the key opportunities and risks investors should be thinking about looking ahead. Featured are Jeremy Zirin, Senior Portfolio Manager of the House View Equity Portfolios and Head of the Private Client US Equity Team, and Dominic Schagar, Lead Equity Investment Specialist at UBS Asset Management.Talking Markets (Powering the AI revolution) with Tyler Rosenlicht (Cohen & Steers)
With global data center power demand expected to rise considerably over the next few decades, we explore the scale of anticipated global demand and the scope of energy resources that will contribute to demand …
Notes de l’épisode
With global data center power demand expected to rise considerably over the next few decades, we explore the scale of anticipated global demand and the scope of energy resources that will contribute to demand fulfillment. We also touch on investment considerations around this theme, along with the risks to be mindful of. Tyler Rosenlicht is a Portfolio Manager for Global Listed Infrastructure and serves as Head of Natural Resource Equities at Cohen & Steers. Host: Daniel Cassidy
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