Episode 530: Who’s Gonna Win?

James and Ant predict the near-present. Who's gonna win in this hot mess of an election? They also talk a bit about who's gonna lose.

00:00 Introduction and Episode Preview

00:26 Listener Feedback: The Death Penalty and Inalienable Rights

02:18 Does Imprisonment Violate the Right to Liberty?

04:09 Can You Forfeit Your Inalienable Rights?

06:25 Punishment, Rehabilitation, and the Purpose of Prison

08:42 Elizabeth Holmes, Fraud, and Criminal Justice

10:22 Should Criminals Be Forced to Repay Their Victims?

12:07 Pete Hegseth’s Political Future in Tennessee

13:48 Foolishness of the Week: Nicki Minaj for White House Press Secretary?

17:19 Political Spam and the 2026 Midterm Elections

18:49 Midterm Election Predictions: Polls vs. Betting Markets

25:51 Will Democrats Take Control of Congress?

28:10 Could Trump Face Another Impeachment?

31:50 The Odds of Democrats Winning the House and Senate

34:03 Texas Senate Race: Ken Paxton vs. James Talarico

35:35 Trump’s Approval Ratings and the Midterms

37:13 Ohio Governor’s Race: Vivek Ramaswamy’s Declining Odds

39:00 Alaska Senate Race: Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan

41:51 Maine Senate Race: Can Susan Collins Survive?

44:43 Tariffs, Inflation, and Republican Voter Discontent

46:44 Michigan Senate Race: Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers

49:04 What Happens if Trump Is Removed From Office?

57:05 Which Is More Reliable: Polls or Prediction Markets?

1:02:24 Redistricting Battles in Texas and California

1:04:21 The Political Consequences of Redistricting

1:05:15 Be Nice to Each Other and Closing Thoughts