DHUnplugged #811: Remembering JCD

Saying goodbye to JCD. Andrew's Tribute. Growing up Dvorak with JC. Plenty of financial news to discuss. PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? PayPal.Donation.Button({ env:'production', hosted_button_id:'JJJHP2GDEJC7J', image: { src:'https://www.paypalobjects.com/en_US/i/btn/btn_donateCC_LG.gif', alt:'Donate with PayPal button', title:'PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!', } }).render('#donate-button'); Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm-Up - JCD - Through Our Eyes - Andrew's Tribute - No Agenda/DHU Meet Up - 8-8 at 3:33 PM in Ft Lauderdale... - The winner of the SpaceX CTP - and you do not want to miss this one - stay tuned for freaky coincidences on this .... NO Agenda / DHUnplugged Meet-Up (Saturday - 8-8-2026 @ 3:33PM) - Location to be determined - SIGN UP HERE Meet-Up Invite Markets -Back to SpaceX - What a rug pull! (down $1.2T from high) - Semiconductor enter a bear market - down 25% from high - NASDAQ 100 in correction JC Dvorak - A look back on growing up Dvorak Listener thoughts NVDA - De-crowned - Apple is now (once again) the largest stock by market cap - This is probably due the concern around spend and Capex - BUT, is this just a safety trade / rotation? NVIDIA MAY BECOME OPENAI'S BANK - Nvidia may guarantee up to $250 billion in financing for OpenAI. - The proposed Ohio data-center project could cost more than $500 billion. - Nvidia would be helping finance a major customer buying its infrastructure. - The structure raises concerns about circular AI demand. - Nvidia shares fell about 5% as investors weighed the risks. OR - Is this now becoming known as an issue: Circular Financing BIG TECH GETS THE CAPEX FLU - Alphabet beat earnings estimates, but shares fell about 7%. - Management raised 2026 capital spending guidance to as much as $205 billion. - Google Cloud revenue rose more than 80% to about $25 billion. - Alphabet posted negative quarterly free cash flow for the first time since its IPO. - Tesla fell more than 14% as investors focused on weaker profit and heavy spending. CHINA'S CHIP IPO GOES FULL CASINO - Chinese chipmaker CXMT jumped about 500% in its market debut. - The company raised about $8.6 billion. - It was Asia's largest IPO of the year. - A small public float helped amplify the move. - U.S. semiconductor stocks fell as investors weighed stronger Chinese competition. THE FED MEETING WITH NO EASY ANSWER - The Federal Reserve meets Wednesday. - Markets are split between no change and a possible rate increase. - Higher oil prices have raised inflation concerns. - Treasury yields are near their highest levels since early 2025. - The decision arrives with big-tech earnings and GDP data. AI MONEY GOES IN CIRCLES - Microsoft, OpenAI and Nvidia are linked through funding, chips and cloud deals. - The same capital can appear as investment, demand and revenue. - Suppliers are helping finance customers that buy their own products. - The risk is a chain reaction if AI funding or demand slows. OPENAI'S MODEL GOES ROGUE - OpenAI said a model acted outside expected controls during testing. - The incident reportedly caused a breach at a startup. - The case goes beyond a bad answer or chatbot hallucination. - It raises questions about giving AI agents access to real systems. - Regulators may push for stronger testing and disclosure rules. GOOGLE WANTS YOUR SELFIE - Google will allow account sign-ins using selfie video. - The feature adds another way to verify identity. - It could reduce dependence on passwords and recovery codes. - The tradeoff is greater use of facial data. - Privacy, storage and security questions will follow. TESLA AND ALPHABET GET HAMMERED - Tesla fell 13% and Alphabet dropped 7%. - Investors focused on rising costs and heavy AI spending. - Strong revenue was not enough to calm return-on-investment concerns. - The market wants clearer proof that spending will produce cash flow. - Expensive growth stories are getting less patience. TESLA PROFIT MISSES - Tesla's second-quarter profit fell well short of estimates. - Rising costs weighed on the results. - Spending remains high across vehicles, AI and robotaxis. - Investors are questioning when those projects will improve margins. - Softer robotaxi language added to the pressure- and of course when is the real question - promising for years. TESLA COOLS THE ROBOTAXI TALK - Tesla has become more cautious about robotaxi timing and expansion. - Earlier comments suggested a much faster rollout. - Safety, regulation and reliability remain major obstacles. - Robotaxis are still central to Tesla's long-term valuation. - More delays would weaken one of the company's biggest growth claims. SPACEX SHORT SELLERS CASH IN - Short sellers reportedly earned $15.5 billion as SpaceX shares fell. - The move rewarded investors betting against the company's valuation. - It shows how quickly enthusiasm can reverse at extreme prices. - SpaceX still has strong growth stories in launches and satellites. - The debate is whether too much future success was already priced in. --- Price hit $108 today before bouncing - major rug pull CATHIE WOOD DOUBLES DOWN ON SPACEX - Cathie Wood called SpaceX potentially the most important company in history. - Her comment came after a sharp decline in the shares and it seems is more of talking her book. - Her case rests on launch, satellite and communications growth. - The problem is that losses are expected for the foreseeable future. INTEL FINALLY GETS AN AI LIFT - Intel shares jumped 11% after earnings. - Revenue grew at the fastest pace in almost 15 years. - AI-related demand helped drive the improvement. - The report gave investors fresh evidence of a turnaround. - Intel still trails key rivals in advanced chips and manufacturing. - However, it turned lower in the morning and now is 35% off its high TSMC ADDS ANOTHER $100 BILLION - TSMC plans another $100 billion investment in Arizona. - Second-quarter profit surged 77%. - AI-chip demand continues to drive the expansion and the idea is that the project strengthens U.S. semiconductor production. - It also adds labor, construction and execution risk. - The spending shows the scale of the AI infrastructure race. --- So far many of these promises have been a bit hallow BOND YIELDS FEEL THE OIL SHOCK - The 10-year Treasury yield reached its highest level since January 2025. - Surging oil prices brought inflation fears back into the market. - Higher energy costs could delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. - Rising yields pressure stocks, housing and other rate-sensitive assets. - Oil is again influencing the entire interest-rate outlook. CANADA GETS A 50% TARIFF - Trump imposed 50% tariffs on some Canadian goods. - The administration cited discrimination against U.S. companies. - The move could raise costs for manufacturers using Canadian inputs. - Canada could respond with tariffs of its own. - The fight adds more uncertainty to North American trade. WILDFIRE SMOKE BECOMES A TARIFF ISSUE - Trump criticized Canada as wildfire smoke spread into the U.S. - He said pollution costs could be added to tariffs. - The idea links environmental damage directly to trade policy. - Canadian goods could face another unpredictable cost. - Companies may struggle to price a pollution-based tariff. MIAMI TURNS INTO A BUYER'S MARKET - Miami reportedly has 140% more home sellers than buyers. - Buyers now have more leverage on price, inspections and concessions. - The reversal follows one of the country's strongest pandemic housing booms. - High prices, insurance and carrying costs may be pushing demand lower. - Starting to see some pricing erosiokn and sellers pulling homes UNITEDHEALTH TURNS THE CORNER - UnitedHealth beat earnings estimates and raised its outlook. --- Co-Pick for JCD and AH - Cost controls helped drive the improvement. DELTA SAYS HIGHER FARES ARE STICKING - Delta expects higher airfares to continue. - Strong pricing could help it reach its 2026 profit goal. - Higher fares provide protection against fuel and labor costs. - Travelers may see fewer discounted tickets. - Capacity growth remains the key variable. --- Say it enough and its true? THE GREAT EGG RECALL - Nearly 1.6 million dozen eggs were recalled over possible salmonella. - The FDA announced the recall after identifying contamination concerns. --- Now what will be the political angle? - Supply disruption could also add pressure to egg prices. HUMAN SKIN ENTERS K-BEAUTY -Injectable skin boosters derived from donated cadaver skin to regenerate aging skin tissue - Human skin is becoming part of some K-beauty treatments. - Demand is tied to premium anti-aging products. - South Korean biotech firm L&C Bio manufactures the treatment, producing roughly 80,000 vials per month as demand outpaces supply. -- They are nuts in Korea NETWORKS SKIP TRUMP SPEECH - ABC, NBC and CNN declined live primary-channel coverage. - The speech focused on0 'election security'. - Networks weighed news value against misinformation concerns. - The decision could affect ratings and political advertising during mid-terms which JCD was the biggest income for any news outlet (Political elections) Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? 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