Fire Science Show

1. 276 - How smoke control fails (and how to find a fix)?

   11.11.202647 Min.Als Nächstes

   When your smoke control CFD run fails by one meter of visibility and the knee-jerk reaction is predictable: add capacity, add fans, add cost. Here I would propose to stop for a minute and take a bit different …

   Shownotes

   When your smoke control CFD run fails by one meter of visibility and the knee-jerk reaction is predictable: add capacity, add fans, add cost. Here I would propose to stop for a minute and take a bit different path - to treat failure as the most useful diagnostic signal in fire engineering, because the real question is not whether a tenability criterion is met, but why it is not met and what mechanism causes the breakdown.
   
   We unpack the messy gap between analysis and reality. Simulations usually begin after a long chain of assumed successes: detection works, power stays on, dampers open, doors behave, and ductwork is sealed. Real buildings introduce human error, blocked inlets, stuck dampers, open access points, programming delays, signal sequencing, and device failures that can erase performance before smoke control even starts. Understanding these vulnerabilities helps us design resilience, not just compliance.
   
   Then we break a “failed” design into three levers you can actually interrogate: the design fire assumptions, the tenability criteria, and the system itself. We talk soot yield, heat of combustion, and why “visibility in smoke” is often a convenient proxy rather than a true prediction of what people can see. From there we identify two major smoke control failure modes: smoke layer descent versus loss of buoyancy from mixing that fills the whole volume. We walk through fixes that often beat brute-force extraction increases: better vent distribution, avoiding plug-holing, smarter inlet placement and velocities, obstacle awareness, clear flow paths, measured capacities, and time-based strategies like ramp functions and activation sequencing.
   
   If you design smoke and heat exhaust, pressurization, car park ventilation, or tunnel smoke control, this is a practical playbook for troubleshooting failures and turning them into better designs.

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   The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

   Kapitel (12)

   1. 0:00Why Failure Matters In Design
   2. 2:45Smoke Control Systems And Definitions
   3. 7:45Real World Failures Versus Simulations
   4. 14:40When CFD Says The System Failed
   5. 15:57Design Fire Assumptions That Drive Results
   6. 22:50Tenability Criteria And Visibility Limits
   7. 27:51Two Core Smoke Failure Mechanisms
   8. 31:33Fixing Smoke Layer Descent Problems
   9. 34:10Fixing Mixing And Lost Buoyancy
   10. 37:12Troubleshooting With Flow Paths And Data
   11. 40:30Timing Strategies That Avoid More Fans
   12. 42:43Key Takeaways And Listener Prompt

   Transkript

2. 275 - Property Protection and the Role of Insurers with Gary Howe

   04.11.20261 Std. 4 Min.Als Nächstes

   Fire safety engineering based on our codes and legislations often stops at life safety and code compliance. However, in the world of insurers, there is much more beyond that - a critical question is “what …

   Shownotes

   Fire safety engineering based on our codes and legislations often stops at life safety and code compliance. However, in the world of insurers, there is much more beyond that - a critical question is “what happens to the business after the fire?” Today I sit down with Gary Howe, Senior Risk Engineer at Zurich Resilience Solutions (Zurich Insurance Group), to unpack how insurance risk engineering evaluates fire risk across property protection, environmental impact, reputational exposure, and the big one: business interruption.
   
   We get concrete about what risk engineers actually do on site and why underwriters rely on them as their eyes and ears. Gary walks through how construction details, internal compartmentation, and combustible materials change the loss outcome, then goes deep on fixed fire protection systems. We talk sprinklers and why insurers verify water supplies, pump performance, and commodity classification, plus what happens when storage changes quietly outpace the system. We also dig into performance-based systems like water mist, where evidence matters: listings, third party approvals, and fire test data that matches the installed reality.
   
   From there, the lens widens to credible loss scenarios and recovery time. We explore long lead-time equipment like transformers and turbines, single-line bottlenecks that can freeze an entire process, and why heavy industry claims can be dominated by downtime rather than rebuild cost. Environmental risk enters through firefighting water runoff, airborne pollution, and battery energy storage toxic cloud considerations, while reputation risk shows up the moment smoke plumes hit the news. If you want a practical, insurer-informed framework for fire resilience, risk reduction, and business continuity planning, this conversation provides you that.

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   The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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3. 274 - SPyro model for predicting fire growth with Jonathan Hodges and Jason Floyd

   28.10.202653 Min.Als Nächstes

   Modeling the consequences of a fire is what most of us do day to day. Modeling how a fire actually grows across real materials, under changing heat flux and ventilation, is the part we tend to avoid, hiding …

   Shownotes

   Modeling the consequences of a fire is what most of us do day to day. Modeling how a fire actually grows across real materials, under changing heat flux and ventilation, is the part we tend to avoid, hiding behind a prescribed design fire. That gap is exactly what we tackle with Jason Floyd and Jonathan Hodges from UL Research Institutes, the developers of S-PYRO, a new engineering pyrolysis model already included in Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS).
   
   We walk through the origin story in railcar fire growth modeling, where “traveling fire” assumptions and fixed HRR curves can fall apart once the compartment becomes ventilation-limited. S-PYRO takes a more practical route to predictive fire modeling: it uses cone calorimeter data (multiple heat flux levels, and optionally multiple thicknesses) and scales burning rate and time so mass consumption stays consistent while the exposure conditions come from your CFD simulation. That means the local incident heat flux in FDS drives which cone response the surface should follow, instead of guessing the fuel output up front.
   
   The hardest detail is also the most important: flame feedback. A burning sample sees extra heat flux from its own flame, and the cone heater flux can be partially absorbed by soot and hot gases. Jason and Jonathan explain how they built a “digital twin” cone using high-resolution FDS runs to generate lookup tables for flame heat flux and cone absorption across different fuel properties, plus how validation against large public cone databases reveals where the self-similarity assumption holds and where it breaks (dripping polymers, delamination, collapse, long-duration char oxidation, and complex assemblies).
   
   If you’ve ever wanted fire growth modeling that’s more realistic than a scripted curve but more approachable than full kinetics, this is the roadmap. Subscribe for more fire science, share this episode with a colleague who uses FDS, and leave a review if it helps. What material or scenario would you try S-PYRO on first?

   Resources:

   • Jack Bono Award winning paper "An Approach for Flux and Thickness Scaling of Cone Calorimeter Data for Predicting the Pyrolysis of Materials" (improved SPyro)
   • An engineering model for the pyrolysis of materials
   • FDS github with all the resources

   Cover image from a paper: J. Hodges et al., MODELING THE FIRE GROWTH IN A RAILCAR, Interflam 2025

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   The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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4. 273 - ASET/RSET concept - flawed or great?

   21.10.202650 Min.Als Nächstes

   ASET/RSET is the fire safety engineering idea that sounds almost too clean to argue with: the building must give you more time to escape than you need to get out. But once you try to prove it in a real project …

   Shownotes

   ASET/RSET is the fire safety engineering idea that sounds almost too clean to argue with: the building must give you more time to escape than you need to get out. But once you try to prove it in a real project, the simplicity could and and the hard questions start. Where does “time zero” actually begin: ignition, detection, or alarm? What does it mean for tenability to fail in a place where nobody is anymore? And are we designing safer buildings, or just winning a seconds-on-a-spreadsheet contest?
   
   I break down the Available Safe Egress Time and Required Safe Egress Time concept from both sides: the human evacuation model and the fire model. On the RSET side, we talk about detection and alarm strategy, pre-movement time distributions, and why congestion, stair capacity, and occupant behavior can dominate the result. On the ASET side, we get into CFD fire modeling, tenability criteria like visibility, heat, and toxicity, and the huge responsibility that comes with choosing a design fire that is both plausible and fail-safe. I also explain why fire location can completely change outcomes even when the heat release rate curve is identical.
   
   We also tackle the famous criticism of ASET/RSET, where it truly breaks down (especially residential scenarios), and why I still find it useful in complex spaces like public venues and tunnels. To move beyond one “magic number,” I share practical alternatives like scenario-by-scenario comparisons, probabilistic thinking, ASET/RSET maps, and agent-based tenability approaches, plus a look at digital twin possibilities for smarter evacuation guidance.
   
   If this helped you rethink how you use ASET/RSET in performance-based fire engineering, subscribe, share the episode with a colleague, and leave a review so more engineers can find it. What’s the toughest ASET/RSET argument you’ve had to defend?

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   Three mentioned links in the episode:

   Rino's pre evacuation time distributions: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0379711218302212
   Vyto's paper here: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/fam.1025
   Tenability survey paper here: https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105046523596?origin=resultslist

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   The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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5. 272 - How to add wind to fire CFD analysis?

   07.10.202646 Min.Als Nächstes

   In this episode I take you into practicality of introducing wind into fire safety engineering considerations, and focus on it's implementation as a part of fire oriented CFD analyses. In here, we dig into …

   Shownotes

   In this episode I take you into practicality of introducing wind into fire safety engineering considerations, and focus on it's implementation as a part of fire oriented CFD analyses. In here, we dig into why wind is tied to so many catastrophic fires, why firefighter safety is often shaped by sudden wind shifts, and why designing for calm air can quietly turn fire safety into a coin toss.
   
   I walk through what wind actually is from a fire engineering perspective: an atmospheric, turbulent phenomenon full of vortices and gusts, not a tidy uniform flow. We talk about the trap of modeling only the average wind speed, why gusts matter so much for smoke movement and vent performance, and how the wind profile changes with height and terrain roughness. From there, I connect the dots to computational wind engineering and the messy reality of cities, where nearby buildings, parks, towers, and “urban canyons” can completely reshape the local wind field right at your façade openings.
   
   Then we get practical about CFD. I share the domain and mesh decisions that keep results honest (including blockage and downstream wake space), how to handle wind direction, and what turbulence modeling choices mean when you’re trying to couple wind and fire. Finally, I lay out when the hassle is worth it: constrained historic roofs, atria with limited openings, exposed natural smoke ventilators, high-rise mechanical floors, complex tunnel portals, architected natural vents with uncertain discharge coefficients, and roof features where vortex shedding can damage photovoltaics.

   The key resource to implement what has been said in the episode:

   - Wind and Fire Coupled Modelling—Part I: Literature Review

   - Wind and Fire Coupled Modelling—Part II: Good Practice Guidelines

   - Fire and Smoke Modelling Chapter

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   The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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6. 271 - pyFDS-Evac with Mohcine Chraibi

   30.09.202656 Min.Als Nächstes

   Smoke does not just slow people down, it changes what they believe is even possible. That simple idea is why we get so excited about pyFDS-Evac, an open source workflow that connects Fire Dynamics Simulator …

   Shownotes

   Smoke does not just slow people down, it changes what they believe is even possible. That simple idea is why we get so excited about pyFDS-Evac, an open source workflow that connects Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS) results directly to modern evacuation modeling with JuPedSim. When the fire environment can remove an exit from view, reduce walking speed through extinction and soot exposure, or even incapacitate an agent, you stop “post-processing evacuation” and start modeling decisions that respond to conditions.
   
   We sit down with Mohcine Chraibi from Forschungszentrum Jülich to unpack how their team builds pedestrian dynamics software that researchers can actually extend. We talk candidly about why legacy tools like FDS-Evac faded, why commercial evacuation software can feel like a black box when you need to publish and validate new ideas, and what it takes to keep an academic codebase alive. Mohcine walks us through the modular pipeline: run FDS as normal, read outputs through FDS Reader, compute sight lines and smoke effects with FDS VisMap, and drive agents with JuPedSim while pyFDS-Evac applies fire-driven behavior changes.
   
   Then we go deeper into routing and wayfinding. You will hear how graphs and A-star pathfinding evolve toward flow-field methods, why “familiarity” and cognitive maps matter when occupants do not know the building, and what JuPedSim 2.0 aims to deliver next, including stairs, 2.5D to 3D buildings, and switching movement models by location.
   
   If you care about fire safety engineering, evacuation simulation, pedestrian dynamics, or visibility in smoke, subscribe, share this with a colleague, and leave a review so more researchers and practitioners can find the tools and the ideas. What would you test first with an open FDS to evacuation pipeline?

   Links to the good stuff:

   Jupedsim the engine: https://www.jupedsim.org/
   its webapp: https://app.jupedsim.org/
   
   Youtube-playlist for jupedsim: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ekbvCdy1P3w&list=PLYiH62IDwy5fdFJRiGky0Hdq88xKwjayL
   
   pyFDS-Evac: https://pedestriandynamics.org/pyFDS-Evac/
   
   pyFDS-evac presentation from the visbility seminar https://pedestriandynamics.org/pyFDS-Evac/talks/visibility-seminar-2026/#/1

   Cover image comes from the 1st video on the JuPedSim playlist - the Galton Board Walked by Pedestrians in JuPedSim, by Pedestrian and Fire Dynamics Channel on youtube.

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   The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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7. 270 - How the Cone Calorimeter took over with Marc Janssens

   23.09.202649 Min.Als Nächstes

   A tool doesn’t become a global workhorse because it’s clever. It becomes a workhorse when different labs can run it, calibrate it, compare it, and trust it. It is a very long road from the invention to …

   Shownotes

   A tool doesn’t become a global workhorse because it’s clever. It becomes a workhorse when different labs can run it, calibrate it, compare it, and trust it. It is a very long road from the invention to widespread use. And I got the chance to discuss the path of how the Cone took off with Dr. Marc Janssens, who is a key figure in this story - he was even jointly co-awarded the Phillip DiNenno Prize together with dr Vyto Babrauskas, for his efforts on developing, standardizing and promoting the Cone.
   
   Marc takes us back to the early days of reaction-to-fire testing, when heat release rate measurement was messy, methods differed by country, and oxygen consumption calorimetry still had to prove itself. He was sent on a mission to find a heat measuring device, and shares on what was available back then.

   Later in the episode we dig into the questions raised: is a 10 by 10 cm specimen too small, what does “scaling” really mean, and how do you avoid fooling yourself when you try to turn cone calorimeter curves into real-fire predictions. We also get into why the cone’s controlled heat flux and feedback control mattered so much, and how interlaboratory round robin studies turned uncertainty into precision statements that standards could stand on.
   
   From there, the conversation opens up into what cone calorimetry enabled: faster R&D for products, smarter screening ahead of costly room corner testing, and a path to modeling. Marc shares how cone calorimeter data supports fire modeling efforts, including flame spread approaches in FDS, and why validation at larger scales still matters. The episode lands with a powerful case study: performance-based, risk-informed nuclear power plant fire safety, where cable tray fire spread scenarios depend on models fueled by cone calorimeter measurements of cable insulation.
   
   If you are a daily user of a Cone, an engineer who depends on high quality models and data, or simply want to hear about the history of our discipline... this one is for you.

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   The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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8. 269 - Fire investigations and the scientific method with Vincent Brannigan

   16.09.202659 Min.Als Nächstes

   A fire scene looks like a puzzle, but it’s a puzzle where the pieces melt, burn, and get hauled away before anyone can measure them. On the 25th anniversary of 9/11, I sit down with Professor Vincent Brannigan …

   Shownotes

   A fire scene looks like a puzzle, but it’s a puzzle where the pieces melt, burn, and get hauled away before anyone can measure them. On the 25th anniversary of 9/11, I sit down with Professor Vincent Brannigan to ask a questions - does a fire investigation truly use the scientific method, or are we doing something else and calling it science?
   
   Vincent brings a rare mix of experience as a fire protection engineer, a lawyer who has seen cases up close, and a historian of science who cares deeply about how we justify knowledge in court. We talk about the World Trade Center collapse, what made investigation so difficult, and how code and design assumptions (like fireproofing priorities and sprinklers) shape outcomes long before any investigator arrives. From there, we get precise about language: what a hypothesis is, what makes a scientific hypothesis testable, why a theory is not a casual idea, and why “proof” is the wrong word in most scientific and forensic contexts.
   
   Then we take the discussion into the context of NFPA 921 directly. We explore why much of forensic fire reasoning is abductive inference (the Sherlock Holmes style of “best explanation”), why that can be useful, and why it becomes dangerous when it’s presented as if it carries the repeatability of lab science. We dig into witness statements, models and simulations, experiments that actually help, and the uncomfortable gap between “possible,” “probable,” and “true” when the courtroom demands answers.
   
   If you care about fire investigation, forensic fire science, expert testimony, and how fire engineering knowledge becomes evidence or a foundation of new code recommendations, this conversation will sharpen how you think and how you write.

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   The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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9. 268 - Is critical velocity that critical?

   09.09.202653 Min.Als Nächstes

   Critical velocity is supposed to be the clean moment when tunnel smoke control flips from unsafe to safe. But after too many real projects and too many review battles, I am very sure that such a single number …

   Shownotes

   Critical velocity is supposed to be the clean moment when tunnel smoke control flips from unsafe to safe. But after too many real projects and too many review battles, I am very sure that such a single number cannot be a sole proxy of what is safe or unsafe... So why it has so much power over my design?

   In this solo episode I walk through why critical velocity became the world's favorite proxy for tunnel fire safety: it’s simple, it’s calculable, and it gives verifiers something rigid to check. But what is simple at first glance, can become quite messy in projects. Different code editions, different assumptions for hydraulic diameter or slope, and different approaches like hand calculations vs CFD can push the “right” value around. And the value becomes what we argue about, not the safety. In a tunnel, smoke movement is not one-dimensional either. Ceiling jets, momentum exchange, and the timing of fan activation can all change what it takes to control back-layering.
   
   From there, I share project realities that don’t fit the checkbox. Reversible ventilation where slope fights you, station-to-tunnel transitions where uniform velocity is physically impossible, and very wide rail spaces where applying small-tunnel models can imply absurd power demands. We also talk about what happens when you miss critical velocity: back-layering isn’t automatically system failure, and the distance and conditions matter far more than a binary pass/fail.
   
   Finally, we dig into the hidden conservatism inside typical tunnel ventilation design scenarios and the real-world cost of “just adding jet fans” once cabling, inverters, power supply, redundancy, and maintenance hit the full design. If you care about tunnel fire engineering, smoke control, CFD modeling, and practical fire safety design, this one is for you.

   Did you like it? Subscribe for more, share it with a colleague who reviews tunnel designs, and leave a review with your take: should tunnel fire safety rely less on one number and more on performance outcomes?

   Origins of the critical velocity are in this highly recommended episode: https://www.firescienceshow.com/157-revising-critical-velocity-with-conrad-stacey-and-michael-bayer/

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   The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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10. 267 - Modelling Fire Growth with Stephen Welch

    02.09.20261 Std. 2 Min.Als Nächstes

    Pretty CFD flames are something we got used to, but they usually are a product of our design assumptions - the design fire. While they give us a lovely illusion of being "real" fires, predicting real …

    Shownotes

    Pretty CFD flames are something we got used to, but they usually are a product of our design assumptions - the design fire. While they give us a lovely illusion of being "real" fires, predicting real compartment fire growth is a completely different game. We’re joined by Dr. Stephen Welch (University of Edinburgh) to get honest about what “modeling fire spread” actually means, how quickly results can become believable but wrong, and why validation has to be the foundation of any serious CFD fire modeling workflow.
    
    We walk through the path his group has taken from traveling fires in large compartments to timber-lined compartment behavior, using FDS and detailed pyrolysis models. Along the way we talk about scaling up from cone and crib experiments, why wood sticks burn differently than flat timber, and why calibrated kinetics are often engineering tools rather than universal material truths. We also dig into the uncomfortable reality of scenario uncertainty: moisture, stick variability, crib deformation, and tiny geometric changes can meaningfully shift predictions.
    
    One of the most practical takeaways is how opening location and ventilation momentum reshape fire spread, sometimes in ways classic simplified models won’t anticipate. We explore entrainment height, hot layer effects, soot and radiative fraction, and what it might take to credibly predict burnout and post-burner behavior in timber-lined compartments. If you care about structural fire design, traveling fire exposure, and the future of validated predictive modeling, this one is for you.
    
    After this one, you will have a lot of reading... Start with these:

    1. Liu, C., Dai, X., Ming, X.M. & Welch, S. (2026) Exploring fire dynamics of travelling fires in large open compartments with CFD, Fire Safety Journal 104663 (special issue IAFSS2026) doi:10.1016/j.firesaf.2026.104663
    2. Liu, C., Dai, X., Ming, X.M. & Welch, S. (2025) CFD predictions of fire spread over wood cribs in large open-plan compartments: new insights, Fire Safety Journal special issue 156: 104443 doi:10.1016/j.firesaf.2025.104443
    3. Dai, X., Alam, N., Liu, C., Nadjai, A., Rush, D. & Welch, S. (2024) “Scaling-up” fire spread on wood cribs to predict a large-scale travelling fire test using CFD, Advances in Engineering Software 189: 103589 doi: 10.1016/j.advengsoft.2023.103589
    4. Dai, X., Gamba, A., Liu, C., Anderson, J., Charlier, M., Rush, D. & Welch, S. (2022) An engineering CFD model for fire spread on wood cribs for travelling fires, Advances in Engineering Software 173:103213 doi: 10.1016/j.advengsoft.2022.103213

    And the cover image comes from the image in paper [2], Fig. 17. Stephens papers are full of beautiful images. Another reason to check them out.

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    The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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11. 266 - Compartment fire framework with Vinny Gupta

    26.08.20261 Std. 11 Min.Als Nächstes

    A compartment fire is more than just “a fire in a room.” The moment flames, smoke, and heat are trapped by walls and fed through openings, the physics changes and so do the hazards we design for. We sit down …

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    A compartment fire is more than just “a fire in a room.” The moment flames, smoke, and heat are trapped by walls and fed through openings, the physics changes and so do the hazards we design for. We sit down with Dr. Vinny Gupta (University of Waterloo) to rebuild compartment fire thinking from the ground up, from what the enclosure does to airflow and smoke layers to why those effects still anchor modern structural fire safety.
    
    We trace the roots of today’s design tools through post World War II research and the foundational work of Kunio Kawagoe and Philip Thomas. That takes us straight into the ventilation factor, opening factor, and energy balance logic that underpins so much of compartment fire modeling, including parametric fires and many “golden number” rules engineers carry from project to project. Then we get honest about the fine print: the assumptions, the limits, and what gets lost when we remember the solution but forget the context it came from.
    
    From there, the conversation shifts to modern buildings that refuse to behave like classic small rooms: open-plan compartments, changing ventilation conditions, nonuniform smoke layers, and traveling fires that move across a floor plate instead of involving everything at once. We also dig into why fuel type can matter even when theory says it should not, especially once mass timber and CLT linings enter the compartment and amplify sensitivity to radiation, flow, and ventilation.
    
    If you would like to dig further, my recommendations are:

    • Kawagoe's summary of compartment fire research
    • Jose Torero's revisiting compartment fire
    • Vinny's paper on mechanisms of flame spread in large compartments
    • Vinny's paper on different fuels and compartment fires

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    The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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12. 265 - How fires can lead to a nuclear winter? with Stephen Welch

    19.08.20261 Std. 7 Min.Als Nächstes

    As a kid of 80s and 90s, a lot of the pop culture was around the post-apocalyptic scenarios following a nuclear exchange. I always thought a nuclear winter is a consequence of atomic bombs falling down, but now …

    Shownotes

    As a kid of 80s and 90s, a lot of the pop culture was around the post-apocalyptic scenarios following a nuclear exchange. I always thought a nuclear winter is a consequence of atomic bombs falling down, but now as a fire researcher I've learnt it is mostly about fires, after all. Today I sit down with Dr Stephen Welch (University of Edinburgh) to trace the fire-engineering-heavy pathway from mass urban ignitions to firestorms, through soot production and its injection into the stratosphere, up to global climate impacts. The uncomfortable twist is that the energy release from the fires can dominate the scenario, and the climate outcome depends on whether a fraction of that smoke gets high enough and stays there long enough to matter.
    
    We dig into what makes a firestorm different from a big fire: the burned-area thresholds, the requirement for many structures burning at once, and the extreme winds a firestorm can generate on its own. Then we connect urban firestorms to what we’ve learned from megafires and satellite observations, including measured, non-zero global cooling effects, tracing reference datapoints that allow us to approximate the scale needed for a considerable climate impacts. That modern data from wildfires or volcanic eruptions becomes a rare validation anchor for a problem that historically relied on older assumptions and is inherently limited in terms of potential validation.
    
    From there, we go straight into the messy details fire engineers care about: fuel load density, modern plastics, under-ventilated compartment fires, glazing failure, and why soot yields taken from small, well-ventilated tests can be misleading when soot mass is the whole point. All of those, but considering large city fire at once. We also talk modeling options, from CFD to coupled atmosphere simulations, and why “consistent engineering crudeness” is sometimes the only honest starting point. In fact, we dive pretty deep into soot formation and modelling, as the classic "yield" approach we use for everyday fire engineering breaks down at scale of fires discussed here. At the same time, the exact amount of carbon injected into stratosphere is the number deciding of the final impact, therefore it requires a better justification.

    I am sure you will enjoy this conversation, as it ties multiple important aspects of fire engineering, tied all into a challenging and interesting research question. How do fires lead to a nuclear winter?

    If you would like to read more, try out the thesis of Abhas Adhikari on the subject:

    https://imfse.be/s/Abhas-Adhikari_Thesis.pdf

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    The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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13. 264 - Engineering Firebrand Showers with Samuel L. Manzello

    12.08.20261 Std. 6 Min.Als Nächstes

    A wind-driven ember shower is a key wildfire exposures a building can face, but we have not yet fully understood or accounted for them in making our communities wildfire resilient. Today we sit down with Samuel …

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    A wind-driven ember shower is a key wildfire exposures a building can face, but we have not yet fully understood or accounted for them in making our communities wildfire resilient. Today we sit down with Samuel L. Manzello of Tohoku University and Reax Engineering to unpack how in the last 20 years the firebrand science went from not being able to characterize the features of them well to being able to procur controlled experiments and standardized generators that can actually shape building codes and product design.
    
    We dig into what firebrands really are, why vegetation embers and structure-generated embers behave differently, and why lab tests with single particles often fail to explain the ignitions seen after major WUI disasters. From there, we follow the chain reaction that led to the Dragon firebrand generator: the need for wind, the lack of suitable facilities, and the breakthrough of creating a continuously feedable device that can produce repeatable firebrand showers. Samuel explains how airflow settings can shift firebrands from glowing to flaming, and why that control is essential for meaningful wildfire exposure testing.
    
    The second half moves into standardization and real-world impact. Samuel breaks down ISO TC 92 and the work of the IAFSS LOFBE group on large outdoor fires in the built environment, including why the "Baby Dragon" became an ISO methodology and what it unlocks next: better roof tests, vent penetration tests, facade and opening vulnerabilities, and more consistent ways to compare hazards across regions and vegetation types. If you care about wildfire resilience, WUI fire safety, ember intrusion, and the future of practical standards, this conversation maps the path forward.

    As promised, here are some links:

    • The world is burning: What exactly are firebrands and why should anyone care?
    • Progress in creating international standards
    • Experimentally producing various firebrands
    • NIST - Dragon firebrand generator (2014)
    • Samuel's classic paper from 2006 - on ignition of mulch with firebrands

    But there is much, much more in the literature on the firebrands! I recommend going to Scopus or Google Scholar and looking for Samuel's record there: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=4oAvxXMAAAAJ&hl=pl&oi=ao

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14. 263 - Developments in modelling WUI fires with Arnaud Trouvé

    05.08.20261 Std. 3 Min.Als Nächstes

    Wildland-Urban Interface fires are a class of fires that deserves own models, own studies and a lot of research focus. This is what I discuss today with prof. Arnaud Trouvé from the University of Maryland …

    Shownotes

    Wildland-Urban Interface fires are a class of fires that deserves own models, own studies and a lot of research focus. This is what I discuss today with prof. Arnaud Trouvé from the University of Maryland, shortly before he has given his plenary talk at the recent Combustion Symposium in Kyoto. In this interview, Arnaud explains what makes wildland urban interface (WUI) fires and urban conflagrations so hard to predict, also with a focus on the combustion phenomena.

    Arnaud is interested in how the fires spread from the wildlife into the urban areas, and how to model this spread. The state of the art models for fire spread are lacking in here, due to how they perceive a fire front as a "line", whereas in cities we are looking at collection of compartment-household fires that may last for hours, and create a burning area kilometre wide. Therefore, we need new modelling approaches, and we need them at three scales - the scale of vulnerabilities of a parcel, a parcel-to-parcel setups and whole community scales.

    To improve the state of the art, he breaks the problem into the scales that matter: indoor fire dynamics (where CFD can estimate structure burning), parcel-level exposure (where fire penetration is the missing link), and community-scale fire spread (where reduced order models dominate because fuel and building maps are often coarse). We dig into the practical modeling mechanics behind WUI simulators: 2D spread on gridded maps, simplified radiation and flame shape models, probabilistic firebrand transport, and the limits of one-way coupling where wind is prescribed but not influenced by the fire.

    We also discuss an important bottleneck: the data. Satellite observations often arrive with poor temporal resolution, and controlled full-scale experiments are rare, which makes validation and scenario selection painfully uncertain. We also discuss why windows and near-structure fuels can be a universal pathway for loss, and why the field needs stronger shared infrastructure and collaboration to move faster.

    Congratulations on your plenary talk and thank you Arnaud for representing the fire community at the Combustion Symposium. Link to the paper is here: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1540748926003317

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15. 262 - Fire Fundamentals pt. 22 - Optical diagnostics in fire with Elizabeth Weckman

    29.07.20261 Std. 2 Min.Als Nächstes

    In todays episode of fire fundamentals we talk with Professor Elizabeth Weckman from University of Waterloo about advanced optical diagnostics that let fire researchers read temperature, chemistry, soot, and …

    Shownotes

    In todays episode of fire fundamentals we talk with Professor Elizabeth Weckman from University of Waterloo about advanced optical diagnostics that let fire researchers read temperature, chemistry, soot, and velocity from light without relying only on probes. We break down what cameras, infrared imaging, spectroscopy, lasers, and PIV can reveal, plus the calibration and interpretation pitfalls that can quietly ruin your data.

    Things covered in this episode:
    • why optical diagnostics are “non-intrusive” in practice and where they still perturb the flow
    • limits of probe-based measurements in fire including spatial resolution and radiation errors
    • using basic photography and video as a first diagnostic and as a planning tool
    • calibration habits for cameras and why cheap, robust cameras are often a better choice for a fire laboratory
    • infrared thermography for surface heating plus emissivity problems and practical coatings
    • Schlieren imaging for density and temperature gradients and what it can and cannot imply
    • point vs planar vs line-of-sight vs tomographic measurements and how “smearing” happens
    • FTIR and absorption spectroscopy for pyrolysis gases, emissions, and toxic species
    • chemiluminescence and laser-induced fluorescence to mark combustion and flame fronts
    • Raman and CARS for temperature and concentration and why they are technically demanding
    • soot diagnostics from light extinction to laser-induced incandescence and aging effects
    • PIV basics, seeding challenges in fire, and what velocity fields unlock for validation

    The episode is best enjoyed along Beth's paper from the IAFSS: Unravelling the mysteries of fire
    
    

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16. 261 - The story of the Cone Calorimeter with Vyto Babrauskas

    22.07.20261 Std. 34 Min.Als Nächstes

    The cone calorimeter sits in thousands of labs, shaping what we know about flammability, smoke production, and heat release rate. This essential piece of equipment comes with quite a story of how it was …

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    The cone calorimeter sits in thousands of labs, shaping what we know about flammability, smoke production, and heat release rate. This essential piece of equipment comes with quite a story of how it was engineered or why its “obvious” design choices were anything but obvious. We wanted that history from the source, so we invited Professor Vyto Babrauskas to walk us through the decisions, constraints, and small breakthroughs that turned an idea into the most practical bench-scale fire test in common use today.
    
    We dig into the 1970s research environment at NIST (then NBS), including the plastics-focused push that created funding, talent density, and the freedom to build new measurement tools. Vyto explains how the field moved from qualitative “widget tests” toward combustion-science thinking, and why oxygen consumption calorimetry was the turning point. We also talk about terminology and standardization, including how “heat release rate” became the key engineering variable for “how big is the fire,” and why that framing still guides modern fire modeling and performance-based design.
    
    Then we get concrete: why the specimen is 100 by 100 mm, how the cone heater geometry was modified to keep combustion products flowing where they should, why adding feedback control was so important, and how ignition and smoke measurement evolved into the robust setup many of us take for granted under ASTM E1354 and ISO 5660. We also cover heat flux selection for realism, horizontal versus vertical orientation, and why some promising variants like controlled-atmosphere attachments never became widespread. The closing brings it back to today, including Vyto's critique of fire research (mainly in Li-ON batteries) that stops at plotting heat release rate curves without answering the deeper engineering and forensic questions.
    
    If you would like to read more about the cone, I got you covered:

    • https://www.nist.gov/nist-museum/cone-calorimeter-most-important-tool-fire-safety-science from the NIST Museum
    • https://www.nist.gov/news-events/news/2022/03/happy-retirement-cone-calorimeter - a NIST note on the history of the cone
    • https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/fst/41/1/41_21/_article paper by Vyto Babrauskas on the early history of the cone.

    Cover image credit: NIST, from the https://www.nist.gov/news-events/news/2022/03/happy-retirement-cone-calorimeter

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17. 260 - Fire safety in a carbon budget with Cecilia Wetterqvist and Axel Mossberg

    15.07.20261 Std. 13 Min.Als Nächstes

    A carbon budget can feel like a hard wall in modern building design, and once you treat CO2 as currency, everything starts competing for a slice of it. The problem is that fire safety systems often show up in …

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    A carbon budget can feel like a hard wall in modern building design, and once you treat CO2 as currency, everything starts competing for a slice of it. The problem is that fire safety systems often show up in those spreadsheets only as a penalty: extra embodied carbon for sprinklers, alarms, and protection. What gets ignored is the payoff. A serious fire can erase years of “sustainable” choices through demolition, replacement materials, repair labor, and lost building value, all with a very real carbon footprint.
    
    We sit down with Swedish researchers Cecilia Wetterqvist (Lund University and Bengt Dahlgren Fire Research) and Axel Mossberg (Bengt Dahlgren Fire Research) to connect fire safety engineering with life cycle assessment (LCA), climate declarations, and green building certification thinking. We talk honestly about system boundaries, early design lock-in, why “50-year” assumptions can be misleading, and how reuse projects can be both a climate win and a detailing challenge that changes maintenance and risk.
    
    The heart of the conversation is a translation tool: turning fire risk into the same unit sustainability teams already use, kilograms of CO2e per square meter. Using incident statistics and damage categories, the method estimates expected fire-related emissions, including the big driver most models miss: replacement. The result can flip decisions on their head, especially for larger commercial buildings where sprinklers may reduce expected lifecycle carbon rather than increase it.
    
    If you are looking here for more resources, you know I got your back:

    • Mossberg A. et al., A methodology for the integration of fire risk in building life cycle analysis
    • Wetterqvist C. et al., Sustainability and fire safety decisions in the design process: Overview and two Swedish building projects
    • McNamee M. et al., Challenges and opportunities for reuse of products and materials with fire safety requirements – A Swedish perspective

    
    

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18. 259 - Communicating fire science with politicians with Birgitte Messerschmidt

    08.07.20261 Std. 2 Min.Als Nächstes

    Fire safety is a tough “product” to sell because the best outcome looks like nothing happened. That’s exactly why we sat down with Birgitte Messerschmidt (NFPA) to talk about communicating fire science to …

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    Fire safety is a tough “product” to sell because the best outcome looks like nothing happened. That’s exactly why we sat down with Birgitte Messerschmidt (NFPA) to talk about communicating fire science to politicians, regulators, grant bodies, and other people in positions of power who can approve policies, permits, and funding, often with only a few minutes to spare. We share what changes when your audience is nontechnical, busy, and sometimes driven by incentives that do not neatly match engineering logic.
    
    We get practical about preparation: mapping who actually holds the decision power, building an elevator speech, and using storytelling so your message sticks. We also unpack the role of media and “sensation” in shaping political priorities, using electric vehicle fire headlines as a real example. Instead of amplifying fear, we talk about framing the issue as a changing fire landscape: new materials, tighter buildings, batteries, and evolving hazards that demand updated fire safety engineering.
    
    Then we go into the hard parts: how experts can get pulled into political fights, how soundbites get cherry-picked, and when the right move is to say less, not more. We also tackle ethical communication after tragedies, focusing on respect for victims and clear intent to prevent repeat losses. Finally, we wrestle with risk communication, why “it could happen” derails risk-based design, and how to acknowledge emotion while bringing people back to facts.

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19. 258 - e-mobility fires in trains with Adam Barowy

    01.07.202657 Min.Als Nächstes

    A battery fire on a train is not “just another small fire.” When a lithium-ion battery in an e-scooter or e-bike fails, the rail car can behave like a long pipe that moves smoke fast, limits escape options, and …

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    A battery fire on a train is not “just another small fire.” When a lithium-ion battery in an e-scooter or e-bike fails, the rail car can behave like a long pipe that moves smoke fast, limits escape options, and compresses decision-making into minutes.
    
    We sit down with Adam Barowy from UL Research Institutes FSRI to unpack new full-scale passenger rail car burn tests using real micro-mobility devices and realistic storage locations. We talk through what thermal runaway looks like before flames, why that venting phase is a crucial warning sign, and what changes once flaming ignition starts. Adam shares the data that surprised even seasoned fire researchers: smoke can spread from one end of the car to the other in about 30 seconds after flaming ignition, floor-level visibility can collapse in roughly two to three minutes, and toxic exposure can become a serious egress limiter on the same timescale as train stopping and evacuation.
    
    We also zoom out to the operational and societal reality. Rail operators want to support first mile last mile travel and riders who depend on e-mobility for work, yet they need policies that actually reduce risk. We cover practical options like limiting device size, avoiding carriage in the first or last car when exits are constrained, improving passenger education, requiring battery safety certifications, and exploring segregation strategies that keep devices away from passengers without pushing the problem underground.
    
    I promised you links, so here they are:

    • Summary of the research on trains and batteries
    • The full report
    • Li-Ion battery safety guide

    Cover image created from pictures from their report linked above! Following Adam's recommendation and taking your resources for a creative spin :)

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20. 257 - Fire Fundamentals pt. 21 - Radiation with Simo Hostikka

    24.06.20261 Std. 3 Min.Als Nächstes

    In this episode of fire fundamentals we sit down with Professor Simo Hostikka from Aalto University to cover radiation in fires, both from the angle of physical phenomena and ways to model it. In this episode …

    Shownotes

    In this episode of fire fundamentals we sit down with Professor Simo Hostikka from Aalto University to cover radiation in fires, both from the angle of physical phenomena and ways to model it. In this episode we cover following topics:

    • feel less mysterious, from blackbody basics and role of radiation actually does inside the CFD N-S equation.
    • Spectrum and emissivity to real engineering outcomes like heat flux, tenability
    • Radiation’s two roles in fire CFD: target heat flux and the gas energy source term
    • Emission versus absorption and why Kirchhoff’s law is spectral, not just a single number
    • Spectrum intuition using Planck, Wien’s law, and why T to the fourth explodes heat flux
    • View factors as a hazard mental model for layers, panels, and distance effects
    • Why gases are strongly non-gray while soot often looks smooth and easier to approximate
    • How FDS uses the finite angle method, why 104 directions exists, and how updates are staged in time, how to manage spatial and temporal resolution of the radiation
    • Ray effect and numerical diffusion, when you can see the error and when you cannot
    • Other radiation models such as Monte Carlo, and when they are worth it.
      
      

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21. 256 - Modelling turbulent combustion in fire CFD with Bart Merci

    17.06.20261 Std. 13 Min.Als Nächstes

    While we can get pretty far with a very simple approximation of what a fire is in our fire cfd, at some point our simplications are not enough. And there is a plenty of features and phenomena, for which we …

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    While we can get pretty far with a very simple approximation of what a fire is in our fire cfd, at some point our simplications are not enough. And there is a plenty of features and phenomena, for which we simply need a better tool to handle - carbon monoxide, soot, extinction, flashover behavior, and what happens when ventilation disappears. At the IAFSS symposium, we sit down with Professor Bart Merci (Ghent University), fresh off delivering the Howard Emmons Invited Plenary Lecture, to talk about what it really takes to model turbulent combustion in real fires without asking practitioners to become full-time combustion scientists.
    
    We start with the engineering reality check: you do not get unlimited mesh resolution, unlimited runtime, or the luxury of endless sensitivity studies. As Bart says - "you need to pick your battles". That practical constraint shapes everything, from whether LES is a smart choice to how you treat the “unseen” physics inside a CFD cell. Bart breaks down turbulence in plain terms, explains why the largest eddies dominate entrainment and smoke movement, and shows how mesh decisions can quietly decide whether LES outperforms unsteady RANS in practical smoke control and compartment fire problems.
    
    Then we go deep on sub-grid combustion models. We unpack why infinitely fast chemistry can be acceptable in well-ventilated flames yet collapses in under-ventilated conditions, where toxicity, soot, and extinction dominate the risk picture. Bart explains a finite-rate, autoignition-informed approach that uses detailed chemistry offline to tune simplified reactions, then applies flamelet concepts and turbulence measures to predict reaction rates and species production inside each cell, including ignition and extinction behavior without relying on a guessed “critical flame temperature.”
    
    We close with what’s next: validation in compartments, microgravity as a brutal test of “universality,” and why advanced non-intrusive diagnostics could finally improve near-wall heat transfer and flame-surface interaction. If you care about CFD, FDS modeling limits, fire dynamics, and the future of practical fire safety engineering, you’ll want this one.

    If you would like to read more on the topic, here is Bart's paper that accompanied his brilliant lecture. Figure 3 is what we discuss at the end of the episode.

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22. 255 - Timber load bearing capacity in fire from nano- to megascale with Felix Wiesner

    10.06.20261 Std. 1 Min.Als Nächstes

    A timber column can survive the heating phase of a fire resistance test and still collapse later, after the flames are gone. We know there is so much more to structures in fires than the test demonstrates, but …

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    A timber column can survive the heating phase of a fire resistance test and still collapse later, after the flames are gone. We know there is so much more to structures in fires than the test demonstrates, but how much exactly do we know about timber nowadays? In this episode we try to dive deeper and discuss mass timber fire safety, structural fire engineering, and what a fire resistance rating does and does not tell us.
    
    I’m joined by Dr. Felix Wiesner from the University of British Columbia, this year’s IAFSS Proulx Award recipient, to unpack his review on mass timber load-bearing capacity in fire across scales. We start where most design decisions begin: full-scale furnace tests and the practical reality that many modern timber elements are too large, too new, or too costly to test under load. From there we dig into the reduced cross-section method, charring rate assumptions, and the controversial “zero-strength layer” that turns heated wood into a simplified design allowance, even as uncertainty and code-to-code differences persist.
    
    Then we turn to the decay phase and delayed failure, connecting recent column results to the bigger question of performance-based design for compartment fires that heat and cool. To model that behaviour, we need credible links between temperature, strength reduction, and elastic modulus reduction, and we need to care about how the data were generated: steady-state oven tests versus transient tests where timber is loaded first and heated with steep gradients.
    
    Finally, we go down to the microscale and nanoscale, where moisture migration and even hydrogen-bond changes in cellulose help explain why “loaded while heating and cooling” can permanently reshape capacity. If you work with mass timber buildings, timber fire design, Eurocode approaches, or structural safety in fire, this is a deep reset on what matters most.
    
    

    Read about the IAFSS Awards here https://www.iafss2026.com/awards

    Read the whole paper with a more in-depth view on the subject "From nano-to megastructure: A review of mass timber load-bearing capacity in fire"

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23. 254 - Communicating fire science with firefighters, with Steve Kerber

    03.06.20261 Std.Als Nächstes

    Fire science should have its place at the fireground, yet I've learned how hard it is to communicate it with the key stakeholder - the firefighters. It's not my isolated experience, and that tension …

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    Fire science should have its place at the fireground, yet I've learned how hard it is to communicate it with the key stakeholder - the firefighters. It's not my isolated experience, and that tension drives our conversation with Steve Kerber, Vice President at UL Research Institutes Fire Safety Research Institute (FSRI). Today we dig into the real craft of communicating fire dynamics to firefighters without losing the truth of the science.
    
    We talk about why experience alone can mislead when every incident is full of unknowns, and how repeatable research can “rewind the tape” to test tactics under controlled conditions. Steve explains how measurements like temperature, heat flux, and toxic gas concentration can clarify what different decisions actually do to survivability and operational time windows. We also get honest about the trust gap between lab work and the messy reality firefighters see every day, especially when buildings and contents evolve faster than training programs.
    
    From there, we get practical: how FSRI listens to a more complete voice of the fragmented fire service using advisory boards and fire service technical panels, how to reach line firefighters through the media and training pathways they already rely on, and why “simplify, don’t dumb down” is the way to teach concepts like ventilation-limited fire, flashover, and ventilation control at scale. Steve shares how video, clear visuals, and well-designed props can build the muscle memory crews need under pressure, plus the story of how research challenged the old fear that exterior water “pushes fire.”
    
    We also cover a clear win where technical research and health research meet: firefighter exposure and cancer prevention, and why that evidence changed behavior across the profession. If you care about fire protection engineering, evidence-based firefighting, firefighter safety, and turning research into real-world outcomes, this one is for you.

    The Fire Science Show was built around the mission to communicate better. This is the kind of episode that is perfect for the occasion... as we are celebrating the 5th anniversary of the podcast today! Thank you all for being with us for the 5 years!

    If you would like some additional resources:

    • https://fsri.org/resources All the resources by FSRI. A masterclass on how good communication looks like.
    • Utilizing Research to Enhance Fire Service Knowledge - Steve Kerber's PhD Thesis very relevant to the topic we discuss today

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24. 253 - NERIS - the paradigm shift for the US fire data collection with Craig Weinschenk

    27.05.20261 Std. 13 Min.Als Nächstes

    A national fire statistics system that updates in weeks is not a statistics system, it is a history lesson. We talk with Dr. Craig Weinschenk from UL Research Institutes - Fire Safety Research Institute about …

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    A national fire statistics system that updates in weeks is not a statistics system, it is a history lesson. We talk with Dr. Craig Weinschenk from UL Research Institutes - Fire Safety Research Institute about NERIS (the National Emergency Response Information System) and why it represents a real shift in fire incident reporting, emergency response data, and fire service analytics across the United States.
    
    We trace the arc from NFIRS, built for paper forms and rigid codes, to a modern cloud based, API driven platform that can scale to tens of thousands of departments and millions of records. Craig explains the practical problems that held fire data back: delayed batch uploads, validation errors that return long after the call, fractured “plus one” local codes, and how hard it was to update incidents when outcomes change. Then we get specific about what NERIS enables: easier updates with full change history, consistent unit typing, staffing counts per apparatus, all hazards reporting, and narrative fields that document impediments so the data keeps real world context.
    
    We also dig into what departments get back immediately: interactive dashboards, geospatial maps, time of day trends, mutual aid linking, and a clearer view of complex incidents that involve suppression, rescue, and medical actions at once. On top of that, NERIS enriches incident records with external data like parcel information and weather, creating new opportunities for fire safety engineering research, community risk reduction, and smarter resource planning while keeping sensitive operational details controlled.
    
    Learn more about the NERIS here: https://fsri.org/programs/neris

    Check this webinar to see the live demo: https://fsri.org/program-update/now-available-demand-access-neris-version-1-platform-launch-and-national-rollout

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25. 252 - Substantiating Fire Models with Craig Hofmeister and Bryan Klein

    20.05.20261 Std. 7 Min.Als Nächstes

    Jumping straight to CFD has become the default move in fire safety engineering, but that habit can quietly weaken our work: more inputs, more assumptions, more ways to be wrong, and often no clearer link to the …

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    Jumping straight to CFD has become the default move in fire safety engineering, but that habit can quietly weaken our work: more inputs, more assumptions, more ways to be wrong, and often no clearer link to the actual design question. We sit down with Craig Hofmeister and Brian Klein to unpack a practical, defensible way to choose the right fire model for the job using the SFPE guideline “Substantiating a Fire Model for a Given Application.”

    The broad framework of this work is to define the phenomena of interest and questions at hand, then choose the candidate models and evaluate them through set of core qualities, then address the verification and validation of the models, consider uncertainties and user impact, and finally document the whole process.

    We walk through the framework step by step, starting where good performance-based design always starts: the questions the model must answer. From sprinkler and detector activation to atrium smoke control, pressurization, visibility and tenability, we talk about translating objectives into key physics and required outputs. That sets up a grounded comparison across hand calculations and algebraic correlations, zone models like CFAST, node network tools like CONTAM and Ventus, and field models like FDS built in PyroSim.
    
    From there, we get into the part many projects rush past: verification versus validation, how to use published V&V evidence (and when you are outside the validated scope), and how uncertainty and user effects should shape your confidence. We also address real-world constraints like AHJ expectations and contract requirements, plus practical tools like sensitivity studies, bounding analysis, and grid sensitivity checks to keep complexity from turning into false precision.
    
    If you want a cleaner way to defend your modeling decisions to reviewers and stakeholders, this conversation gives you a repeatable process you can build into your own practice.

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26. 251 - Occupant loads in Car Parks with Mike Spearpoint

    13.05.20261 Std. 3 Min.Als Nächstes

    “Two people per parking space” is one of those default fire engineering inputs that we are very used to place into a model without really thinking much of it. But it is one of those defaults that show a huge …

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    “Two people per parking space” is one of those default fire engineering inputs that we are very used to place into a model without really thinking much of it. But it is one of those defaults that show a huge richness once you dig deeper. Are all parking spaces taken? Are people in their cars? What are they doing? How long have they been there concurrently... We take that simple rule and pull on the thread until it turns into a full conversation about evidence, uncertainty, and what “credible maximum” should mean when you are designing for real-world risk.
    
    Dr Mike Spearpoint from the OFR joins me to explain how occupant load values end up in codes, why they are so hard to interpret, and why “maximum possible” can push designs into unrealistic corners. Then we get practical: we build a static, risk-based method for car park occupant load using distributions for car park utilisation and people per vehicle, run it through Monte Carlo simulation, and talk about selecting percentiles like the 95th or 99th for design. If you work with evacuation analysis, performance-based fire engineering, or fire safety assessment, this is the kind of reasoning you can reuse anywhere.
    
    In his consideration, Mike reaches something he calls the dynamic model: people are only briefly “in the car park” as they park, unload, walk to the destination, and leave. Because published data on “around-the-car” activity time is scarce, Mike measures it directly using public CCTV observations and turns it into a usable distribution.

    Why did he do this? This is a part of a larger project on adequate fire resistance periods in car parks. We also connect utilisation to vehicle-to-vehicle fire spread and why those assumptions can ripple into design fires and structural fire resistance decisions for open-sided car parks.
    
    If you are looking for the report itself with all the details, look here: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/fire-safety-open-sided-car-parks

    I'll make it easy for you, it starts at page 218 ;)

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27. 250 - Communicating fire science with construction professionals

    06.05.202652 Min.Als Nächstes

    A fire strategy can be technically correct, but if the team building the building never truly understands it - goals and objectives may be missed. For the 250th Fire Science Show, we slow down and talk about …

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    A fire strategy can be technically correct, but if the team building the building never truly understands it - goals and objectives may be missed. For the 250th Fire Science Show, we slow down and talk about the craft of communicating fire science to construction professionals so that the intent survives real projects, real deadlines, and real handovers.

    This episode is an extended version of my talk I gave recently at the IAFSS Research Sub-Committee Workshop, which we have organised with Felix Wiesner, and I had a chance to talk along my friends - prof. Guillermo Rein, Birgitte Messerschmidt and dr Steve Kerber.

    In this episode, we share why the biggest failures are rarely tiny compliance misses. The scary failures come from misread strategy, missing execution on site, and teams optimizing for the wrong target because we explained the “what” but not the “why.” From smoke zoning misunderstandings to the way product labels and ratings get interpreted, we unpack how simple miscommunication can create life-threatening conditions even when everyone is working hard.
    
    Then we offer a practical framework built around three ideas: context, timeliness, and the way we speak. Context means understanding the building ecosystem: code and local planning, sustainability and energy efficiency, LEED or BREEAM certification pressures, business model realities, and aesthetics. Timeliness means matching our message to the building lifecycle, keeping high-level objectives clear early on, translating them into technical concepts during design, and only then driving into the technical detailing that makes compartmentation, egress, smoke control, and structural fire safety real. Finally, we get honest about what works: simple anchors like ASAT versus RSAT, consequence-focused language, and respectful collaboration, plus what breaks trust fast: jargon, paper-style writing, megawatt talk, and false certainty around “60 minutes” ratings.
    
    Some other podcast recommendations after this one:

    • https://www.firescienceshow.com/136-fire-fundamentals-pt-6-the-fire-automation-in-a-building/ what happens in a building during a fire?
    • https://www.firescienceshow.com/246-fire-fundamentals-pt-20-fire-resistance-criteria-with-piotr-turkowski/ a wider view on the fire resistance
    • https://www.firescienceshow.com/199-commercial-timber-guidebook-with-danny-hopkin-and-luis-gonzalez-avila/ commercial timber guidebook which is an example of excellent communication of fire safety concepts.

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28. 249 - PBD of a large car park with EVs (Case study) with Jonathan Hodges, Mark McKinnon and Christian Rippe

    29.04.20261 Std.Als Nächstes

    From the SFPE Performance Based Design Conference in Singapore, we sit down with Jonathan Hodges and Mark McKinnon (UL Research Institutes) and Christian Rippe (Jensen Hughes) moments after their case study …

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    From the SFPE Performance Based Design Conference in Singapore, we sit down with Jonathan Hodges and Mark McKinnon (UL Research Institutes) and Christian Rippe (Jensen Hughes) moments after their case study presentation to break down a modern parking garage fire engineering workflow with a huge does of performance based and probabilistic approaches.
    
    We talk about what changes when today’s vehicle fleet makes multi-vehicle fire spread more plausible, and why picking a single car fire curve can quietly bake bias into an entire performance-based design. The team shares how they use real incident data, vehicle size distributions, ignition location categories, and percentile-based heat release rate curves to build design fires that are transparent and defensible. We also dig into EV charging as an initiating mode, what the data can and cannot support, and how a “gap analysis” mindset helps practitioners avoid false precision.
    
    Then we get into the risk machinery: scenario binning, frequencies, sprinkler reliability assumptions, and how CFD (FDS) fits when you cannot simulate 100,000 possibilities. Finally, we go structural with concrete spalling, thermal finite element modeling in Abaqus, and a scripted workflow that iteratively removes damaged concrete to understand how exposure evolves during long-duration multi-vehicle fires.
    
    For this episode, there is a ton of resources. From Jonathan:

    1. Reference for first design fire paper: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.firesaf.2024.104145
    2. Reference for second design fire paper: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.firesaf.2026.104721
    3. Reference for database paper: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10694-025-01701-5
    4. Reference for number of parking garages: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.firesaf.2022.103565
    5. Reference for ULRI vehicle fire data: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2026.112471
    6. Reference for ULRI material database: https://materials.fsri.org/
    7. Reference for NERIS: http://neris.fsri.org/
    8. Reference for NFPA Vehicles data: https://www.nfpa.org/education-and-research/research/nfpa-research/fire-statistical-reports/vehicle-fires

    And two from myself:

    1. Outcomes of the massive fire with spalling in Warsaw https://doi.org/10.1016/j.firesaf.2025.104352
    2. Open sided car park report by OFR https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/fire-safety-open-sided-car-parks/real-fires-open-sided-car-park-fire-resistance-introduction-and-conclusion

    
    

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    The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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29. 248 - JRC update on Fire Safety Engineering in Europe with Francesca Sciarretta

    22.04.20261 Std. 4 Min.Als Nächstes

    Fire safety in Europe is shaped in a challenging ecosystem - each member country owns its fire safety rules, yet the construction market, standards, and technical language are increasingly shared. I’m joined by …

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    Fire safety in Europe is shaped in a challenging ecosystem - each member country owns its fire safety rules, yet the construction market, standards, and technical language are increasingly shared. I’m joined by Francesca Sciarretta, Scientific Project Officer at the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre (JRC), to explain how the JRC supports EU decision-making with independent research and why that “science behind the policy” matters for every practicing fire safety engineer.
    
    We unpack what the latest JRC work says about performance-based fire safety engineering in Europe and why prescriptive design still dominates. Francesca walks through how the same country can look “performance-based” to engineers but “not allowed” to regulators, depending on how approval pathways, deviation procedures, and legal wording work. We also talk about where performance-based methods show up most often, from smoke control and structural fire engineering to compartmentation, and why complex assets like high-rise buildings, airport terminals, and underground infrastructure frequently demand engineering judgment.
    
    From there, we connect fire safety to the sustainable construction ecosystem: the Construction Products Regulation (CPR), the recast Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD), major renovations, and the reality that low-carbon innovation must not introduce hidden fire risk. The conversation then turns to the real engine of progress: education, training, qualification frameworks, and liability. If we expect engineers to define scenarios, design fires, safety criteria, and take responsibility, we need credible pathways to competence and continuous professional development across borders.
    
    

    You can find the new JRC report here.

    Information about the FIEP platform: https://efectis.com/en/fire-information-exchange-platform-fiep-2/

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    The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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30. 247 - Calculation methods for fire resistance with Piotr Turkowski

    15.04.20261 Std. 1 Min.Als Nächstes

    You don’t always need a furnace to end up with a fire resistance rating, but you do need to understand what kind of “proof” you’re actually creating. I’m joined again by Dr. Piotr Turkowski from ITB to unpack …

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    You don’t always need a furnace to end up with a fire resistance rating, but you do need to understand what kind of “proof” you’re actually creating. I’m joined again by Dr. Piotr Turkowski from ITB to unpack calculation methods for fire resistance and the real-world chain from engineering assumptions to a Declaration of Performance. We talk about when standards and European Assessment Documents (EADs) explicitly allow Eurocode-based assessment, and how different methods will lead you to your resulting class in a different way.
    
    We spend a lot of time on the practical heart of structural fire engineering: concrete and steel. For reinforced concrete (Eurocode 2, EN 1992-1-2), we compare tabulated data, simplified calculation approaches like the zone method, and advanced global modeling that starts to look more like performance-based fire safety engineering than classification. For steel (Eurocode 3, EN 1993-1-2), we break down critical temperature, utilization, section factor, and what you can realistically expect from unprotected members under the standard fire curve.
    
    Then we get into the more challenging part that tables or simplified methods can’t completely capture: fire protection materials. Sprayed mortars, boards, and intumescent coatings change properties with temperature, moisture, and expansion, and their performance can hinge on stickability, cracking, and detachment during large deflections. Finally, Piotr shares a strong caution on masonry, where tabulated data can be dangerously optimistic for some concrete hollow blocks, and we close with a look at what machine learning might someday add to fire resistance prediction.
    
    Here is a link to the paper about Masonry: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0379711226000512

    ITB and Piotr have international courses on fire resistance and fire testing - keep an eye out on them!

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    The Fire Science Show is produced by the Fire Science Media in collaboration with OFR Consultants. Thank you to the podcast sponsor for their continuous support towards our mission.

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