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Naval
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Naval

NeuLive in the Future03.07.2026 · 1 Std. 8 Min.
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161
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monatlich
Letzte Folge
3. Juli 2026

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Folgen 161

  1. Live in the Future

    1 Std. 8 Min.

    Naval with three founders who are living in the future: Garry Tan (Y Combinator), Daniel Francis (Abel Police), and Farbood Nivi (A-LIST). 00:00 Guest Intros 02:35 Live in the Future 03:58 Will AI Outsmart us? …

    Shownotes

    Naval with three founders who are living in the future: Garry Tan (Y Combinator), Daniel Francis (Abel Police), and Farbood Nivi (A-LIST).

    00:00 Guest Intros

    02:35 Live in the Future

    03:58 Will AI Outsmart us?

    07:43 In the Anthropic Breadline

    09:59 The Tech Genie Is Out

    12:33 We Invested in COVID?!

    14:25 Good Writing Is Novelty

    18:50 Living Like It's 2028

    24:32 Truth dot ai

    30:18 Does China have the Weights?

    35:38 Everyone has AI Anxiety

    39:32 Have Your Agent Talk to My Agent

    42:01 What if Open Source takes the Lead?

    44:03 The Sun is Setting on Google

    48:00 Ride the AGI

    50:46 Will There be Startups?

    54:05 Defending Taiwan

    1:00:05 The California Empire

    1:01:26 If the U.S. Falls

    1:03:11 Universal Basic Robot

    1:06:01 Humans as AI Handlers

  2. Full Episode: The AI Industrial Revolution

    1 Std. 10 Min.

    Full episode with 20 minutes of new material at the end. Software factories, vertical integration, the regulatory frontier, and the autonomous company. Part 1: Waste Tokens, Save Time 00:00 Three Frontier …

    Shownotes

    Full episode with 20 minutes of new material at the end.

    Software factories, vertical integration, the regulatory frontier, and the autonomous company.

    Part 1: Waste Tokens, Save Time

    00:00 Three Frontier Founders

    01:27 AI Software Factories

    04:15 Waste Tokens, Save Time

    05:47 Models Instructing Humans

    09:29 Is Pure Software Dead?

    12:03 You Don't Get Stuck Anymore

    Part 2: Vibe Coding Hardware

    14:39 Vibe Coding a Turbine Blade

    18:07 Open Source Compounds China's Advantage

    20:15 You Always Want the Smartest Model

    22:44 Software Still Needs Hands

    24:43 Humans Are Becoming Verifiers

    Part 3: The Regulatory Frontier

    27:53 The Regulatory Red Queen Race

    32:32 Why There's No Innovation in Healthcare

    36:49 We Need a True 50-State Experiment

    40:31 China's FDA Is Beating Ours

    43:37 Healthcare Is a Communist Society Inside Capitalism

    45:57 Sid's Story: N-of-1 Medicine

    Part 4: The Autonomous Company

    47:49 Autonomous Infrastructure

    51:25 Your Job Is to Train the Agent

    54:54 The Next Lord of the Rings

    59:08 What's Your Definition of Art?

    1:05:00 Can AI Have New Ideas?

    1:07:03 A Very Large Number of Small Teams

    With Guillermo Rauch (Vercel), Blake Scholl (Boom Supersonic), and Max Hodak (Science).

    Transcript: http://nav.al/industrial

  3. Sell the Truth

    28 Min.Folge 157

    00:00 Be Credible 03:18 "Yes, And" 04:31 Selfish Honesty 05:37 Charisma Is Confidence + Love 07:56 Don't Manage, Lead 11:16 Hunt Together 14:51 Feed Your (Good) Obsessions 18:57 Sell the Truth 21:07 Good Deal …

    Shownotes

    00:00 Be Credible

    03:18 "Yes, And"

    04:31 Selfish Honesty

    05:37 Charisma Is Confidence + Love

    07:56 Don't Manage, Lead

    11:16 Hunt Together

    14:51 Feed Your (Good) Obsessions

    18:57 Sell the Truth

    21:07 Good Deal or No Deal

    23:39 The Age of Nonlinear Returns

    —

    Transcript: http://nav.al/sell

    USVC is a product of AngelList, where we are founders and hold equity.

  4. 'Nothing Ever Happens' Is Over

    20 Min.Folge 157

    00:00 The Fully Interconnected Startup 04:14 You Don't Need the Explicit Intranet Anymore 06:55 May You Live in Interesting Times 10:40 Drones Democratize Violence 12:43 Biothreats Could Also Get Democratized …

    Shownotes

    00:00 The Fully Interconnected Startup

    04:14 You Don't Need the Explicit Intranet Anymore

    06:55 May You Live in Interesting Times

    10:40 Drones Democratize Violence

    12:43 Biothreats Could Also Get Democratized

    15:09 AI Interfaces Unlock Hardware

    17:35 Optimism Requires Creativity

    --

    Transcript: http://nav.al/over

    USVC is a product of AngelList, where we are founders and hold equity.

  5. A Return to Code

    30 Min.Folge 156

    A Return to Coding 00:15 The Personal App Store 03:08 Vibe Coding Is a Video Game with Real-World Rewards 06:12 Pure Software Is Uninvestable 10:23 A Place for Each Model 14:09 AI Is Eager to Please 17:44 Why …

    Shownotes

    A Return to Coding 00:15

    The Personal App Store 03:08

    Vibe Coding Is a Video Game with Real-World Rewards 06:12

    Pure Software Is Uninvestable 10:23

    A Place for Each Model 14:09

    AI Is Eager to Please 17:44

    Why Math and Coding? 21:58

    The Beginning of the End of Apple's Dominance 24:04

    Coding Agents As Customer Service Reps 27:43

    --

    Transcript: http://nav.al/code

    Presented by AngelList: http://angellist.com/podcast

    We founded AngelList and have equity in the company.

  6. A Motorcycle for the Mind

    52 Min.Folge 155

    If you want to learn, do 0:00 Vibe coding is the new product management 2:13 Training models is the new coding 6:49 Is traditional software engineering dead? 10:13 There is no demand for average 13:07 The …

    Shownotes

    If you want to learn, do 0:00

    Vibe coding is the new product management 2:13

    Training models is the new coding 6:49

    Is traditional software engineering dead? 10:13

    There is no demand for average 13:07

    The hottest new programming language is English 14:12

    AI is adapting to us faster than we are adapting to it 18:36

    No entrepreneur is worried about AI taking their job 22:56

    The goal is not to have a job 26:46

    AIs are not alive 29:49

    AI fails the only true test of intelligence 32:55

    Early adopters of AI have an enormous edge 36:49

    AI meets you exactly where you are 39:37

    Always leverage the best intelligence 43:02

    If you can't define it, you can't program it 44:37

    The solution to AI anxiety is action 49:37

    --

    Transcript: http://nav.al/ai

  7. Curate People

    52 Min.Folge 154

    The Best Only Want to Work With the Best 0:00 You'll Never Be Able to Hire Anybody Better Than You 3:49 Break Every Rule to Get the Best People 6:45 It Just Takes a Small Group of People to Create Something …

    Shownotes

    The Best Only Want to Work With the Best 0:00

    You'll Never Be Able to Hire Anybody Better Than You 3:49

    Break Every Rule to Get the Best People 6:45

    It Just Takes a Small Group of People to Create Something Great 10:19

    Find Undiscovered Talent Before Everyone Else 14:56

    Great People Have Taste in Other People 19:04

    Every Great Engineer Is Also an Artist 21:24

    Early Teams Look Like Cults 25:34

    You Can't Make a Product that is Simple Enough 27:59

    The Founder's Personality Is the Company 30:37

    Good Teams Throw Away Far More Product Than They Keep 34:45

    All New Information Starts as Misinformation 38:41

    Geniuses Only 40:47

    Practice Your Craft At the Edge of Your Capability 44:24

    Curate People 49:14

    —

    Transcript: http://nav.al/curate-people

  8. In the Arena

    42 Min.Folge 153

    Inspiration All the Way Down 0:00 Life is Lived in the Arena 2:40 If You Want to Learn, Do 4:51 In Most Difficult Things in Life, The Solution is Indirect 6:15 When You Truly Work for Yourself 7:30 Find Your …

    Shownotes

    Inspiration All the Way Down 0:00

    Life is Lived in the Arena 2:40

    If You Want to Learn, Do 4:51

    In Most Difficult Things in Life, The Solution is Indirect 6:15

    When You Truly Work for Yourself 7:30

    Find Your Specific Knowledge Through Action 10:12

    You Have to Enjoy It a Lot 12:06

    Pause, Reflect, See How Well it Did 14:45

    Blame Yourself for Everything, and Preserve Your Agency 16:23

    It Is Impossible to Fool Mother Nature 21:03

    The Best Authors Respect the Reader's Time 25:17

    Most Books Should Be Skimmed, A Few Should Be Devoured 28:18

    Good Products Are Hard to Vary 32:01

    Find the Simplest Thing That Works 35:27

    —

    Transcript http://nav.al/in-the-arena

  9. Find the Simplest Thing That Works

    6 Min.Folge 152

    http://nav.al/simplest

  10. Good Products Are Hard to Vary

    3 Min.Folge 151

    http://nav.al/good-products

  11. Most Books Should Be Skimmed, A Few Should Be Devoured

    4 Min.Folge 150

    Transcript: http://nav.al/devour

  12. The Best Authors Respect the Reader's Time

    3 Min.Folge 149

    Transcript: http://nav.al/density

  13. It Is Impossible to Fool Mother Nature

    4 Min.Folge 148

    Transcript: http://nav.al/fool

  14. Blame Yourself for Everything, and Preserve Your Agency

    5 Min.Folge 147

    Transcript: http://nav.al/agency

  15. Pause, Reflect, See How Well it Did

    2 Min.Folge 146

    Transcript: http://nav.al/reflect

  16. Hiring a Podcast Editor and Naval's Chief of Staff

    3 Min.Folge 145

    Transcript: http://nav.al/hiring

  17. You Have to Enjoy It a Lot

    3 Min.Folge 144

    Transcript: http://nav.al/enjoy

  18. Find Your Specific Knowledge Through Action

    2 Min.Staffel 143

    Transcript: http://nav.al/action

  19. When You Truly Work for Yourself

    3 Min.Folge 142

    Transcript: http://nav.al/yourself

  20. In Most Difficult Things in Life, The Solution is Indirect

    1 Min.Folge 141

    Transcript: http://nav.al/indirect

  21. If You Want to Learn, Do

    1 Min.Folge 140

    Transcript: http://nav.al/do

  22. Life is Lived in the Arena

    2 Min.Folge 139

    Transcript: http://nav.al/arena

  23. Inspiration all the way down

    3 Min.Folge 138

    Transcript: http://nav.al/inspiration

  24. The Deutsch Files IV

    1 Std. 25 Min.Folge 137

    Connecting the Four Theories into a Unified Whole 0:34 Emergence Is Fundamental 3:18 Constructor Theory Could Transform Multiple Fields 8:30 Innovation Often Emerges Unexpectedly 22:46 Knowledge Evolves …

    Shownotes

    Connecting the Four Theories into a Unified Whole 0:34

    Emergence Is Fundamental 3:18

    Constructor Theory Could Transform Multiple Fields 8:30

    Innovation Often Emerges Unexpectedly 22:46

    Knowledge Evolves Independently Across Universes 29:31

    Anti-Rational Memes Hinder Human Progress 31:10

    The West Versus the Rest 37:32

    Error-correcting Institutions 47:46

    The Bucket Theory of the Mind 51:59

    Wokeism and the West 1:07:12

    —

    Transcript http://nav.al/deutsch-files-iv

  25. The Deutsch Files III

    59 Min.Folge 136

    Proving something about AGI is inherently impossible 0:00 Creativity is not just mixing things together 3:05 The superiority of explanatory knowledge 7:48 Knowledge laden information is more resilient than any …

    Shownotes

    Proving something about AGI is inherently impossible 0:00

    Creativity is not just mixing things together 3:05

    The superiority of explanatory knowledge 7:48

    Knowledge laden information is more resilient than any physical object 12:36

    The problems of cloning people 15:05

    Objections to Taking Children Seriously 19:23

    "Do what you like" is bad advice 38:17

    Creativity versus nature 41:57

    Deutsch's "fanciful" conjectures 47:52

    We must give up on the idea of an ultimate explanation 53:06

    —

    Transcript http://nav.al/deutsch-files-iii

  26. The Deutsch Files II

    1 Std. 14 Min.Folge 135

    The universality of computation and explanation 0:00 The growth of knowledge begins with problems 4:56 Problems are clashes between ideas 9:57 Evolution is not the survival of the fittest 14:50 Bad philosophy …

    Shownotes

    The universality of computation and explanation 0:00

    The growth of knowledge begins with problems 4:56

    Problems are clashes between ideas 9:57

    Evolution is not the survival of the fittest 14:50

    Bad philosophy in quantum theory 26:46

    Free will is intimately connected with knowledge-creation 33:41

    Wealth is not a number, it is a set of transformations 49:03

    The principle of optimism 53:27

    Constructor Theory 57:21

    How to make a better world 1:10:05

    —

    Transcript http://nav.al/deutsch-files-ii

  27. The Deutsch Files I

    55 Min.Folge 134

    Good Science Fiction is Hard to Vary 2:08 ChatGPT is Not a Step Towards AGI 5:36 Creativity is Fundamentally Impossible to Define 13:35 The Binary of Personhood and Non-Personhood 23:41 David Deutsch's Life …

    Shownotes

    Good Science Fiction is Hard to Vary 2:08

    ChatGPT is Not a Step Towards AGI 5:36

    Creativity is Fundamentally Impossible to Define 13:35

    The Binary of Personhood and Non-Personhood 23:41

    David Deutsch's Life Philosophy 32:06

    The Clash of Civilizations 44:03

    —

    Transcript http://nav.al/deutsch-files-i

    Discuss on Airchat http://getairchat.com/arjun/deutschfilesdiscussion

  28. David Deutsch: Knowledge Creation and The Human Race, Part 2

    34 Min.Folge 133

    Popper's Impact 0:00 Creative Guesses 2:18 Experiments, Demonstrations, and Measurements 4:25 Taking Theories Seriously 10:25 New Paradigms 15:58 Foundations of Science 23:30 The Enlightenment 25:39 …

    Shownotes

    Popper's Impact 0:00

    Creative Guesses 2:18

    Experiments, Demonstrations, and Measurements 4:25

    Taking Theories Seriously 10:25

    New Paradigms 15:58

    Foundations of Science 23:30

    The Enlightenment 25:39

    Misinformation 29:45

    —

    Transcript http://nav.al/david-deutsch-2

  29. David Deutsch: Knowledge Creation and The Human Race, Part 1

    44 Min.

    Introduction 0:00 The Human Race 2:11 Knowledge Creation 12:34 AGI 15:50 Taking Children Seriously 23:30 Good Explanations 27:49 Quantum Computers 36:35 — Transcript http://nav.al/david-deutsch

  30. Vitalik: Ethereum, Part 2

    25 Min.

    The elder statesman of smart contract blockchains 0:00 The Ethereum community 1:22 The DAO hack 2:34 Vitalik's finest and worst moments in protocol politics 5:18 Becoming a Twitter memelord 7:45 Vitalik's …

    Shownotes

    The elder statesman of smart contract blockchains 0:00

    The Ethereum community 1:22

    The DAO hack 2:34

    Vitalik's finest and worst moments in protocol politics 5:18

    Becoming a Twitter memelord 7:45

    Vitalik's influence on Eth today 8:59

    It's getting harder to do big things in Eth 10:38

    Goals outside Ethereum 12:17

    Crypto needs the good-natured 15:00

    Russia 18:06

    Vitalik's lifestyle 19:51

    Closing thoughts 22:06

    —

    Transcript http://nav.al/vitalik-2

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