Israel Is Preparing for War With Iran. Will Trump Back It? | Ex-IDF Intel Chief Tamir HaymanTamir Hayman
Shownotes
Israel is preparing for another war with Iran, and the decision rests with Donald Trump. Major General Tamir Hayman, former head of Israeli military intelligence, says Israel is swinging between an interim deal and a renewed strike on an hourly basis. Netanyahu wants regime change in Tehran, while Trump wants a deal.
Hayman, a 34-year veteran of the IDF and Executive Director of the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv, joins Sir Richard Dearlove and John Raine to explain why Israel concluded that regime change in Iran was within reach, the three questions any joint US-Israeli operation must answer before it starts, and what Netanyahu’s legacy means for Israeli security. They also discuss the intelligence failures before October 7, the state of Hamas and Hezbollah, the stalled reconstruction of Gaza, how the Gulf states’ stance on the Iran war has shifted, and what Gadi Eisenkot would do differently. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu led the bloc that received the most votes in last week’s Israeli elections.
In this episode:
(00:00) Israel Bracing for Renewed Iran War
(00:48) Hosts Introduction Show Welcome
(01:06) Netanyahu Elections After October 7th
(02:45) October 7th Intelligence Security Failures
(06:07) Hamas Deprioritized as Intelligence Target
(15:55) Gaza Reconstruction and Security Redesign
(19:55) Hamas and Hezbollah Military Capabilities
(24:09) Gaza Reconstruction Stalled Political Options
(33:58) Netanyahu Iran Regime Change Strategy
(40:07) Israel Proactive Military Strategy Risks
(45:49) Gulf States Iran War Position
(49:22) Eisenkot's Alternative Security Vision for Israel
(54:06) Trump Iran Strike or Deal
Show Notes:A Second Wave of Popular Anger Is Building in Iran | Wall Street Journal: https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/a-second-wave-of-popular-anger-is-building-in-iran-ac51969c?reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
Hosted by Sir Richard Dearlove (former MI6 Chief) and guest co-host John Raine (International Institute for Strategic Studies).
Photo credit: Western Wall in Jerusalem, October 2006, Hynek Moravec, Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 Generic license.
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