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(Preview) K-Shaped Economic Data And Its Implications; Ma Xingrui News; Closing Window for Open Source AI?; The SCS and International Law

16.07.2026 · 16 Min.

Shownotes

On today’s show, Andrew and Bill begin by parsing the economic data released by the PRC this week, including slower-than-expected growth, the Party’s response to the status quo, export-powered growth that is widening trade imbalances, and the questions all of this will raise for foreign policymakers. From there: The Party’s findings on Ma Xingrui, questions that remain unanswered, and cadre risk aversion for the next 18 months. Then: PRC messaging around openness in AI, an ongoing U.S. debate over open-source AI models, three chip bills that may end up in the NDAA, and the continued adventures in China policy on Capitol Hill. At the end: Reflections on the 10th anniversary of The Hague ruling on the PRC’s territorial claims in the South China Sea, as well as the state of play today.

Get all episodes of Sharp China, Sharp Tech, Stratechery Updates and Interviews, Greatest of All Talk, Asianometry and the Dithering Podcast as part of Stratechery Plus for $15/month or $150/year.

Bill Bishop is the author of Sinocism

To email the show: [email protected]

@SharpTechPodcast Channel — YouTube

@Stratechery Channel — YouTube

Xi to speak at WAIC; Preparing for July Politburo meeting on the economy; Unemployment at 10.2%?; Another American arrested for spying — Sinocism

Ma Xingrui case; Trade data; Themes for Xi’s WAIC speech; Kevin Rudd on Xi and China — Sinocism

China’s Q2 economic growth cools to 3-1/2-year low as imbalances worsen — Reuters

China’s Trade Surplus With EU Hits Record as Tensions Intensify — Bloomberg

Calibrate the Course of AI for Good, Jointly Build a Universally Beneficial and Inclusive Future — Sinocism Translation

WP Intelligence’s AI & Tech Brief — The Washington Post

When China’s open-source AI is a trap — The Economist

A Framework for Frontier AI and the Dawning of a New Age — Demis Hassabis

Chips bills poised for NDAA ride — Punchbowl News

Nvidia halves Asia buyer list in China chip crackdown — Financial Times

Born to be Alive — China Articles

Joint Statement on the Tenth Anniversary of the Philippines-China South China Sea Arbitral Tribunal Award — U.S. Department of State

South China Sea: Statement by the High Representative on behalf of the EU on the tenth anniversary of the Arbitral Award between the Philippines and China — Council of the European Union

Yang Hansen Summer League Highlights — NBA

Alle Folgen von Sharp China with Bill Bishop

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