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SHARP NFL Week 1 Bets - Picks, Predictions & Betting Strategies

10.09.2026 · 58 Min.

Shownotes

Sunday kickoff for NFL Week 1 is looming, and betting experts Chad Millman and Simon Hunter return to preview the games they're looking to bet across the entire slate. Together our duo gives their picks and predictions for Sunday and Monday, along with their best bet for tonight's showdown between quarterbacks Brock Purdy and NFL MVP Matthew Stafford as the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams square off in Australia. The action continues with their Brass Balls Trade of the Week in the Miami Dolphins game in Las Vegas to face the Raiders, as young Malik Willis looks to outmaneuver the veteran Kirk Cousins. We also hear a breakdown of the Chicago Bears vs. Carolina Panthers game, with budding superstar Caleb Williams looking to cover the spread against Bryce Young. Also discussed today through a betting lens is a Sunday Night Football game between the Dallas Cowboys and the New York Giants, as gunslinger Jaxson Dart looks to start a new season strong for new coach John Harbaugh. Plus, we hear about Patrick Mahomes as a small favorite on Monday Night Football, as the Kansas City Chiefs face Bo Nix and his division rival Denver Broncos. Then they ask whether Aaron Rodgers and new coach Mike McCarthy will win their first game reunited for the Pittsburgh Steelers as they host the Atlanta Falcons? And will former MVP Josh Allen and the favored Buffalo Bills win on the road against C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans? We also get Simon's biggest bets of the week, their underdog moneyline parlay, Chad's Discord Grouper of the Week, and more! #Volume

0:03:00 - START

0:10:45 - SHARP CALLS

0:14:35 - NEW YORK JETS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS

0:16:30 - TAMBA BAY BUCS VS. CINCINNATI BENGALS

0:23:10 - CHICAGO BEARS VS. CAROLINA PANTHERS

0:26:40 - MIAMI DOLPHINS VS. LAS VEGAS RAIDRS

0:31:40 - CLEVELAND BROWNS VS. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

0:42:25 - ATLANTA FALCONS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS

0:46:40 - BUFFALO BILLS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS

0:50:50 - GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. MINNESOTA VIKINGS

0:58:12 - DALLAS COWBOYS VS. NEW YORK GIANTS

1:03:48 - UNDERDOG MONEYLINE PARLAY 

1:05:50 - FAVORITES MONEYLINE PARLAY 

1:07:00 - SIMON'S BIGGEST BETS 

1:09:40 - SURVIVOR POOL PICK OF THE WEEK 

Polymarket is for customers 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

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