The Fraser of Allander Institute Podcast
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- 10. Nov. 2026
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The latest on the Scottish and UK economy from a leading independent economic research institute based in the University of Strathclyde.
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Switched on: How UK energy prices are set
Contributors:Jack Williamson - Fellow, Fraser of Allander InstituteHannah Randolph - Fellow, Fraser of Allander InstituteChristian Calvillo - Senior Fellow, Centre for Energy PolicyTime stamps: (00:45) How …
Shownotes
Contributors:
Jack Williamson - Fellow, Fraser of Allander Institute
Hannah Randolph - Fellow, Fraser of Allander Institute
Christian Calvillo - Senior Fellow, Centre for Energy Policy
Time stamps:
(00:45) How electric and gas prices are set
(06:15) Wholesale to consumer prices and support for energy costs
(15:10) Incentivising electrification
(18:10) How energy prices link to inflation
(21:15) UK energy infrastructure and energy security
(25:50) Long-term strategy for energy policy
Fraser Focus on low-income households: Income from work
Participants: Chirsty McFadyen - Fellow, Fraser of Allander InstituteJack Evans - Senior Policy Officer, Joseph Rowntree FoundationAnna Hirvonen - Engagement and Learning Officer, Poverty AllianceTime stamps …
Shownotes
Participants:
Chirsty McFadyen - Fellow, Fraser of Allander Institute
Jack Evans - Senior Policy Officer, Joseph Rowntree Foundation
Anna Hirvonen - Engagement and Learning Officer, Poverty Alliance
Time stamps:
(00:35) Introductions
(01:45) In-work poverty
(03:20) Pay, hours, and other factors in low income from work
(06:45) Access to childcare, transport, and housing
(09:30) Policies to support those in low-paid work
(19:00) What can Scotland do?
(24:40) Local labour markets and demand for labour
Fraser Focus on low-income households: Housing
ParticipantsHannah Randolph - Fellow, Fraser of Allander InstituteJosh Hampson - Assistant, Fraser of Allander InstituteGlen Bramley - Professor of Urban Studies, Heriot-Watt University Eli Harji - Policy Lead …
Shownotes
Participants
Hannah Randolph - Fellow, Fraser of Allander Institute
Josh Hampson - Assistant, Fraser of Allander Institute
Glen Bramley - Professor of Urban Studies, Heriot-Watt University
Eli Harji - Policy Lead, Scottish Federation of Housing Associations
Time stamps:
(00:20) How economists think about the housing market
(08:40) How Britain's housing market and policy have changed
(20:50) Housing affordability
(28:20) The role of local government
(35:00) Effective policy and international examples
(42:00) Scotland's affordable housing targets
(48:00) The role of housing associations
(52:40) Challenges in providing sufficient social housing
(1:02:00) How Scotland's affordable housing is financed
(1:04:30) Demand for social housing and differences across the UK
(1:10:40) More on the construction sector
Fraser Focus on low-income households: Cost of living
Participants: Ben Cooper - Fellow, Fraser of Allander InstituteChirsty McFadyen - Fellow, Fraser of Allander InstituteHannah Randolph - Fellow, Fraser of Allander InstituteAbigail Davis - Co-Director, Centre …
Shownotes
Participants:
Ben Cooper - Fellow, Fraser of Allander Institute
Chirsty McFadyen - Fellow, Fraser of Allander Institute
Hannah Randolph - Fellow, Fraser of Allander Institute
Abigail Davis - Co-Director, Centre for Research in Social Policy, Loughborough University
Juliet Stone - Associate Director & Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Research in Social Policy, Loughborough University
Russell Gunson - Head of Programmes and Practice, Robertson Trust
Time stamps:
(00:15) Introductions
(01:26) How economists think about the cost of living
(07:57) The Minimum Income Standard (MIS)
(12:58) Building the MIS from interview data
(18:09) The MIS and disability
(24:54) How MIS relates to inflation measures
(30:49) What policy can do to reduce the cost of living
(38:23) More on policy; targeted vs universal approaches
(40:57) The Minimum Income Guarantee
(48:34) Cost of living vs income as drivers of poverty
Fraser Focus on low-income households: Introduction
Participants: Ben Cooper - Fellow, Fraser of Allander InstituteChirsty McFadyen - Fellow, Fraser of Allander InstituteHannah Randolph - Fellow, Fraser of Allander InstituteTime stamps: (0:10) Host intros (0:30) …
Shownotes
Participants:
Ben Cooper - Fellow, Fraser of Allander Institute
Chirsty McFadyen - Fellow, Fraser of Allander Institute
Hannah Randolph - Fellow, Fraser of Allander Institute
Time stamps:
(0:10) Host intros
(0:30) Drivers of low income
(2:30) Topics in the series
(3:40) What we're most looking forward to
Understanding local labour markets across Scotland
Participants Dr Hannah Randolph (Economist, FAI) Prof Mairi Spowage (Director, FAI) Jack Evans (Senior Policy Advisor, JRF) Time stamps (0:22) Who wants to work across Scotland (3:24) Child poverty and …
Shownotes
Participants
Dr Hannah Randolph (Economist, FAI)
Prof Mairi Spowage (Director, FAI)
Jack Evans (Senior Policy Advisor, JRF)
Time stamps
(0:22) Who wants to work across Scotland
(3:24) Child poverty and supporting parents into work
(8:09) Why focus on "people who want to work"?
(13:29) How we talk about labour market status
(19:26) Surveys and other sources of labour market information
(26:55) What's next?
Study shows post-release supervision reduces reoffending in short and long run
00:00:08 – 00:00:35 Introduction to podcast, guests, and research topic (community supervision & re-offending). 00:00:35 – 00:01:24 Overview of pressures on the criminal justice system: court backlogs and …
Shownotes
00:00:08 – 00:00:35
Introduction to podcast, guests, and research topic (community supervision & re-offending).00:00:35 – 00:01:24
Overview of pressures on the criminal justice system: court backlogs and causes.00:01:24 – 00:02:20
Prison overcrowding explained and current capacity issues.00:02:20 – 00:03:14
Early release schemes and their limited long-term impact on prison population.00:03:14 – 00:04:00
Future outlook and policy pressure (Institute for Government concerns).00:03:36 – 00:04:27
New sentencing bill: shift toward community supervision and reduced prison time.00:04:27 – 00:05:22
Lack of evidence on effectiveness of community supervision and motivation for study.00:05:22 – 00:06:28
Data challenges and introduction to MoJ “Data First” initiative and linked datasets.00:06:28 – 00:07:02
Scale and capability of the linked offender dataset.00:07:02 – 00:08:25
Why older data is used and need for causal evidence (bias in simple comparisons).00:08:25 – 00:10:20
Explanation of natural experiments vs randomized experiments.00:10:20 – 00:11:13
Introduction to the 2015 Offender Rehabilitation Act (ORA).00:11:13 – 00:13:02
Natural experiment setup: cutoff date creates comparable supervised vs unsupervised groups.00:13:02 – 00:14:21
Method: comparing re-offending outcomes across groups using linked data.00:14:21 – 00:15:46
What community supervision involves (probation, restrictions, rehabilitation focus).00:16:02 – 00:17:09
Main findings: supervision reduces re-offending (short-term impact).00:17:09 – 00:17:30
Long-term effects: persistent reduction in re-offending even after supervision ends.00:17:30 – 00:18:44
Who benefits most: stronger effects for first-time prisoners.00:18:44 – 00:19:27
Why effects fade over time and importance of supervision duration.00:19:27 – 00:21:00
Effects for repeat/prolific offenders and role of recall to prison (incapacitation effect).00:21:00 – 00:22:18
Behavioural mechanisms and role of recall threat.00:22:18 – 00:23:34
Context: high baseline re-offending rates; supervision helps but isn’t a silver bullet.00:23:34 – 00:25:37
Policy implications: supervision vs prison and impact on overcrowding.00:25:37 – 00:26:05
Long-term benefits via preventing repeat offending among first-timers.00:26:05 – 00:27:37
Where to find research outputs (ADR UK, blog, dashboard).2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 17: The aftermath of the elections
In the final episode of our election analysis series, Mairi Spowage and João Sousa of the Fraser of Allander Institute and Ed Poole and Guto Ifan of the Wales Governance Centre come together to discuss what the …
Shownotes
In the final episode of our election analysis series, Mairi Spowage and João Sousa of the Fraser of Allander Institute and Ed Poole and Guto Ifan of the Wales Governance Centre come together to discuss what the results of the elections in Wales and Scotland mean for governing arrangements, and what the next steps are in the Senedd and Scottish Parliament sessions. **This work is supported by the Nuffield Foundation. The Nuffield Foundation is an independent charitable trust with a mission to advance social well-being. It funds and undertakes rigorous research, encourages innovation and supports the use of sound evidence to inform social and economic policy, and improve people’s lives. The Nuffield Foundation is the founder and co-funder of the Nuffield Council on Bioethics, the Ada Lovelace Institute and the Nuffield Family Justice Observatory. Find out more at: nuffieldfoundation.org. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Foundation.**2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 16: The fiscal outlook for Wales (Welsh episode)
**Please note that this recording is in Welsh - check out our other podcast episodes and our websites for analysis in English.** This is a recording of the event held by the Wales Governance Centre in Bangor on …
Shownotes
**Please note that this recording is in Welsh - check out our other podcast episodes and our websites for analysis in English.** This is a recording of the event held by the Wales Governance Centre in Bangor on 21 April, discussing the main talking points in the Senedd election. **This work is supported by the Nuffield Foundation. The Nuffield Foundation is an independent charitable trust with a mission to advance social well-being. It funds and undertakes rigorous research, encourages innovation and supports the use of sound evidence to inform social and economic policy, and improve people’s lives. The Nuffield Foundation is the founder and co-funder of the Nuffield Council on Bioethics, the Ada Lovelace Institute and the Nuffield Family Justice Observatory. Find out more at: nuffieldfoundation.org. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Foundation.**2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 15: The Welsh manifestos
Timestamps: (0:05) Introductions (1:14) Income tax proposals (6:21) Land transaction tax (9:12) Spending proposals on childcare (12:36) Costings of proposals (18:00) Crown Estate devolution (21:43) Social …
Shownotes
Timestamps:
(0:05) Introductions
(1:14) Income tax proposals
(6:21) Land transaction tax
(9:12) Spending proposals on childcare
(12:36) Costings of proposals
(18:00) Crown Estate devolution
(21:43) Social security devolution
2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 14: Round-up of the week
Timestamps: (0:05) Introductions (1:18) Rows about costings publications in Wales (6:06) Costings publications in Scotland (9:56) The effect of List PR on the manifesto contents (14:30) Current vs capital block …
Shownotes
Timestamps:
(0:05) Introductions
(1:18) Rows about costings publications in Wales
(6:06) Costings publications in Scotland
(9:56) The effect of List PR on the manifesto contents
(14:30) Current vs capital block grants
(16:52) What we can expect in the coming week
2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 13: Health spending in Wales
Timestamps: (0:06) Introductions (1:57) Health's place in the Welsh Government's budget (5:48) Performance of the Welsh NHS (10:51) Productivity challenges (15:31) The challenges of moving to a prevention model
2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 12: The Scottish manifestos
Timestamps: (0:05) Introductions (0:46) The level of detail of the manifestos (9:47) Costings in the manifestos (16:44) The SNP's food price cap (18:39) Reform's plan to bring in half a million people into the …
Shownotes
Timestamps:
(0:05) Introductions
(0:46) The level of detail of the manifestos
(9:47) Costings in the manifestos
(16:44) The SNP's food price cap
(18:39) Reform's plan to bring in half a million people into the labour market
2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 11: Round-up of the week
Timestamps: (0:05) Introductions (1:20) Reflections from the event in Bangor (2:49) Reflections from the event in Edinburgh (5:31) Mutual investment model and proposals in Wales (8:09) Fiscal framework (13:27) …
Shownotes
Timestamps:
(0:05) Introductions
(1:20) Reflections from the event in Bangor
(2:49) Reflections from the event in Edinburgh
(5:31) Mutual investment model and proposals in Wales
(8:09) Fiscal framework
(13:27) Appetite for further devolution of income tax in Wales
(17:19) Council tax revaluation
2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 10: Higher and further education in Scotland
Timestamps: (0:05) Introductions (1:55) Tuition fees and the higher education funding landscape in Scotland (11:59) The future sustainability of Scotland's universities (14:29) Further education funding in Scotland
2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 9: Health and Social Care in Scotland
Timestamps (0:05) Introductions (0:42) Health spending over the last Scottish Parliament term (7:59) The increase in procurement spending (11:12) Parties' proposals for health (19:31) The National Care Service …
Shownotes
Timestamps
(0:05) Introductions
(0:42) Health spending over the last Scottish Parliament term
(7:59) The increase in procurement spending
(11:12) Parties' proposals for health
(19:31) The National Care Service bill
(25:42) Parties' proposals for adult social care
Podcast – State of the State – with Deloitte
(00:00) Welcome and episode overview (01:02) Meet Ed Roddis and Lesley Smillie (03:44) What is the State of the State report? (10:11) The big takeaway for Scotland in an election year (11:32) Public priorities …
Shownotes
(00:00) Welcome and episode overview
(01:02) Meet Ed Roddis and Lesley Smillie
(03:44) What is the State of the State report?
(10:11) The big takeaway for Scotland in an election year
(11:32) Public priorities: cost of living, healthcare and immigration
(18:44) How Scotland compares with the rest of the UK
(21:06) Public satisfaction with services and pressure on the NHS
(29:14) The mood among public sector leaders
(36:19) Is there a real opportunity for public service reform?
(38:04) AI, digital transformation and the future of public services2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 8: Round-up of the week,
Timestamps (0:06) Introductions (1:27) The SNP price cap plan for 'essential' foods (5:28) The campaign in Wales this week and the Welsh Lib Dems manifesto (7:07) Tax policy and unwillingness to confront fiscal …
Shownotes
Timestamps
(0:06) Introductions
(1:27) The SNP price cap plan for 'essential' foods
(5:28) The campaign in Wales this week and the Welsh Lib Dems manifesto
(7:07) Tax policy and unwillingness to confront fiscal trade-offs
(11:20) The remaining Scottish manifestos from the week
(15:13) What's been left unsaid
2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 7: Devolved Social Security in Scotland
Timestamps: (0:05) Introductions (1:25) Scotland's child poverty targets (5:15) Devolved and reserved social security systems (8:32) Child poverty delivery plan (13:00) Scottish Child Payment
2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 6: Higher Education in Wales
Timestamps: (0:05) Introduction and the overall funding challenge (3:30) The wider role of universities in local economies (6:33) International students (9:49) Difference in funding between Wales and the rest …
Shownotes
Timestamps:
(0:05) Introduction and the overall funding challenge
(3:30) The wider role of universities in local economies
(6:33) International students
(9:49) Difference in funding between Wales and the rest of the UK
(19:44) Proposals from the different parties so far
2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 5: Round-up of the week
Timestamps (0:06) Introductions (1:00) Welsh developments: Plaid Cymru and Welsh Green Party manifestos (2:26) Childcare proposals in Wales (8:49) Scottish developments: Scottish Conservatives manifesto (17:16) …
Shownotes
Timestamps
(0:06) Introductions
(1:00) Welsh developments: Plaid Cymru and Welsh Green Party manifestos
(2:26) Childcare proposals in Wales
(8:49) Scottish developments: Scottish Conservatives manifesto
(17:16) Efficiency proposals in Scotland
2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 4: Childcare policy in Wales
Timestamps (00:05) Introduction and the current state of childcare policy in Wales (4:14) Why the government intervenes in this area (7:53) Differences between Welsh provision with the rest of the UK (14:41) …
Shownotes
Timestamps
(00:05) Introduction and the current state of childcare policy in Wales
(4:14) Why the government intervenes in this area
(7:53) Differences between Welsh provision with the rest of the UK
(14:41) Trade-offs between universal and more targeted approaches
(19:04) The effect of policy objectives on childcare policy design
Progress on child poverty: New statistics and a final delivery plan
Participants Prof Stephen Sinclair, GCU & SPIRU Hannah Randolph, FAI Spencer Thompson, FAI Time stamps (1:10) Latest child poverty statistics (4:45) Changes to the Family Resources Survey (12:00) Final child …
Shownotes
Participants
Prof Stephen Sinclair, GCU & SPIRU
Hannah Randolph, FAI
Spencer Thompson, FAITime stamps
(1:10) Latest child poverty statistics
(4:45) Changes to the Family Resources Survey
(12:00) Final child poverty delivery plan
(16:10) Child poverty targets
(23:20) More on data revisions
(25:30) Scale of actions in the delivery plan and distance to the 2030 targets
(30:15) A time for optimism2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 3: The financing of the Scottish Government
Timestamps: (0:06) Evolution of funding during the last Parliamentary term (7:13) Income tax policy and divergence from the rest of the UK (13:39) Public sector pay and pressure on the Scottish Budget
2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 2: The financing of the Welsh Government
Timestamps: (0:05) Introductions (1:00) The Welsh Government's funding landscape in the last few years and the Barnett formula. (5:31) Claims about the "largest ever settlement" and how meaningful those are …
Shownotes
Timestamps:
(0:05) Introductions
(1:00) The Welsh Government's funding landscape in the last few years and the Barnett formula.
(5:31) Claims about the "largest ever settlement" and how meaningful those are
(12:09) Differences in funding between Wales and England
2026 Scotland and Wales Election Analysis Ep 1: Introduction
Timestamps (00:07) Introductions (00:40) The project and why we are doing it (03:35) Highlights from the Welsh setting the scene report (05:55) Similarities and differences relative to Scotland (10:44) Issues …
Shownotes
Timestamps
(00:07) Introductions
(00:40) The project and why we are doing it
(03:35) Highlights from the Welsh setting the scene report
(05:55) Similarities and differences relative to Scotland
(10:44) Issues in the campaign in Scotland: taxes, health service
(12:05) Comparison with issues in Wales
(14:33) Public sector pay and efficiency
(16:58) Capital spending outlook
No One Left Behind: Scotland's employability framework
Participants Hannah Randolph - Fellow, FAI Allison Catalano - Fellow, FAI & SHERU Spencer Thompson - Senior Fellow, FAI & SHERU Time stamps (0:25) What is No One Left Behind and how is it structured? (4:10) …
Shownotes
Participants
Hannah Randolph - Fellow, FAI
Allison Catalano - Fellow, FAI & SHERU
Spencer Thompson - Senior Fellow, FAI & SHERU
Time stamps
(0:25) What is No One Left Behind and how is it structured?
(4:10) Localised services and decision-making
(9:10) Outcomes and prevention under No One Left Behind
(18:45) Prioritisation
(22:15) Data and evaluation
Podcast - Edinburgh & the AI Opportunity - with Deloitte
This episode is the latest in a series partnering Deloitte with the Fraser of Allander Institute. In this series expect lively debate, expert insights, and thought-provoking discussions that will reshape the …
Shownotes
This episode is the latest in a series partnering Deloitte with the Fraser of Allander Institute. In this series expect lively debate, expert insights, and thought-provoking discussions that will reshape the conversation around Scottish economic growth. This Scottish-focused initiative builds upon Deloitte’s UK-wide Growth 35 programme, painting a bold vision for a thriving UK economy by 2035.
(00:00) Welcome and episode overview
(00:57) Meet Paul Lawrence and Phil Cragg
(06:20) Why Edinburgh matters to Scotland’s economy
(11:42) Edinburgh’s regional economy and city region approach
(14:09) The constraints on growth: housing, affordability and space
(17:46) Why Edinburgh stands out as an AI city
(20:47) AI opportunity and labour market risk
(28:07) Can AI improve public services?
(38:39) Universities, talent and Edinburgh’s innovation ecosystemCyber and AI roles in the economy - part of CyberScotland Week - with Deloitte
This episode is the latest in a series partnering Deloitte with the Fraser of Allander Institute. In this series expect lively debate, expert insights, and thought-provoking discussions that will reshape the …
Shownotes
This episode is the latest in a series partnering Deloitte with the Fraser of Allander Institute. In this series expect lively debate, expert insights, and thought-provoking discussions that will reshape the conversation around Scottish economic growth. This collaboration will unveil ground-breaking insights and provide a platform for action. This Scottish-focused initiative builds upon Deloitte’s UK-wide Growth 35 programme, painting a bold vision for a thriving UK economy by 2035.
(00:00) Cyber + AI: why this matters now (Cyber Scotland Week)
(01:12) Meet the guests: Deloitte + ScotlandIS / Cyber Scotland Partnership
(01:51) What “cyber resilience” really means (it’s not just IT)
(04:07) Scotland’s cyber ecosystem: what ScotlandIS + the Partnership do
(07:03) Cyber careers: the roles people don’t realise exist
(09:11) Scotland’s cyber skills gap (and why it’s still here)
(14:06) AI in cyber: big benefits, new risks, and trust issues
(19:02) AI adoption 101: start with the problem (not the hype)
(30:41) Building the talent pipeline: schools, placements & real pathways in
(41:05) The future: new roles, diversity, and what needs to change nextFinancing the Energy Transition 2026 - with Deloitte
(00:00) - Welcome + what we’re covering (survey + energy transition investment) (04:20) - SNIB explained: mission-led impact investing + how they operate (09:47) - Survey headlines: opportunity vs uncertainty …
Shownotes
(00:00) - Welcome + what we’re covering (survey + energy transition investment)
(04:20) - SNIB explained: mission-led impact investing + how they operate
(09:47) - Survey headlines: opportunity vs uncertainty (2030/2050 confidence gap)
(12:27) - Risk, returns, and what’s investable (mature tech, “comparable returns”)
(17:44) - What’s blocking progress: grid, planning/consenting, enabling infrastructure
(28:30) - Scotland context + role of public capital (reserved powers, NWF/GB Energy, crowding-in)
(40:31) - Momentum signals + what needs to happen next
(47:42) - Closing + wrap-up and links
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