(Mis)Anthropic: The Math Ain’t Mathing So Good.

Reuters “leaked” information from the forthcoming Anthropic prospectus and the numbers were pretty brutal. But that isn’t stopping all of Wall Street from lining up to invest in yet another AI company (SpaceX) with no discernible path to profitability. In this episode, Max digs through what we learned from the Reuters release and pairs it with other publicly available information on Anthropic to paint a bleak picture of a five-year old company that loses a ton of money but is somehow asking to be valued at around $2 trillion. Max then leads a philosophical discussion about the future of AI and punching babies. (That last part will make more sense in context.)

Resources

Reuters: Anthropic’s IPO prospectus shows sweeping AI vision, surging costs

Perplexity Finance: AMZN

Perplexity Finance: XOM

Perplexity Finance: C

Reuters: Anthropic IPO valuation hinges on $190-200 billion 2028 revenue forecast, sources say

Yahoo! Finance: Anthropic IPO Filing Reveals a Major Vulnerability: Nearly 50% of Sales Flow Through Amazon and Google as Revenue Concentration Raises Risks: Report

AI: Reset to Zero: Anthropic Paces the Frontier, and Floors the IPO

Financial Times: Anthropic tells investors it will be profitable for second straight quarter

The New York Times: The Fallout From OpenAI’s Revenue Surprise

Bloomberg: Anthropic’s Annualized Revenue to Top $100 Billion in 2026, NYT Says

TechTarget: Report: Anthropic locks in $518B AI infrastructure commitments

Measured AI: Anthropic’s 15+ GW Data Center Build: Claude’s Compute, Campuses, and Chips

Fortune: The hidden menace behind Big Tech’s AI arms race: Meta, Amazon, and others are spending billions on hardware that’s worthless in as little as 3 years, says Research Affiliates partner

Investing.com: Earnings call transcript: Alphabet beats Q2 2026 estimates, shares fall on capex surge

Flowtivity: US vs China AI Models Compared: GPT-6 Astra, Fable 5.1, GLM 5.3, Kimi K3, DeepSeek V4, Qwen 3.8

BBC News: Amazon finally flows into profit

AEI: Who Should Antitrust Protect? The Case of Diapers.com

CNBC: SpaceX raises $25 billion in debt sale less than two weeks after IPO

Tech Times: Anthropic $15B Credit Line: Banks Commit $1B-Plus Each to Lock In IPO Roles

Yahoo! Finance: Wall Street tests lender appetite with $60 billion Broadcom-Anthropic deal

Dario Amodei: We Must Pace the Frontier

CSI Magazine: FCC says broadband competition is driving faster speeds and wider coverage

UNFTR Resources

Video: Anthropic, AI, and Why We Need to Talk About Punching Babies.

Essay: Mis(Anthropic).

Episode: The SpaceX IPO Fraud.

--

If you like #UNFTR, please leave us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts and Spotify: unftr.com/rate and follow us on Facebook, Bluesky, and Instagram at @UNFTRpod. Visit us online at unftr.com.

Become a member at unftr.com/memberships.

Buy yourself some Unf*cking Coffee at shop.unftr.com.

Visit our bookshop.org page at bookshop.org/shop/UNFTRpod to find the full UNFTR book list, and find book recommendations from our Unf*ckers at bookshop.org/lists/unf-cker-book-recommendations.

Access the UNFTR Musicless feed by following the instructions at unftr.com/accessibility

Support the show: https://www.unftr.com/memberships

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.