Inflation crosscurrents: Energy vs AI

Markets are facing two competing inflation stories at the same time: a near‑term energy shock pushing inflation risks higher, and the possibility that AI acts as a medium to longer-run disinflationary force.​

In this episode of Barclays Brief, Patrick Coffey, Global Head of the Product Management, sits down with Jon Hill, Head of US Inflation Strategy, to break down how energy price spikes feed into headline versus core inflation, what breakevens and real yields are signalling, and how central banks may respond to energy shocks they can’t control. ​

They also discuss whether core inflation dynamics are drifting back toward a pre‑COVID structure, and how AI could shape the path ahead through productivity, wages and margins.​

​​Listeners can hear more on this topic:​​​

• Jet fuel shortage: Holidays at risk? ​
• European rates: Inflation & AI waves collide ​

​​Clients can read more on Barclays Live:​​

• The view from overseas ​
• A Claudy inflation outlook ​

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Important Content Disclosures​