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【下班瀚你聊】台積電上看八千?!吳嘉隆:台股劍指十萬點!鄭麗文選到底?!賴清德直接躺贏?!2026-06-17 Ep.385

June 18, 2026 · 55 min

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#下班瀚你聊 #吳嘉隆 #雪寶 #黃暐瀚

美伊停火,川普宣佈開放荷莫茲海峽,全球能源短缺的問題解決了嗎?油價回穩?聯準會還會升息嗎?當美股應聲大漲,為什麽台股漲幅卻相對冷靜?大戶減持台積電,現在還是買進台積電的好時機?對此,總體經濟學家吳嘉隆表示,從台積電的營收與獲利觀察,若將來的EPS看到200塊,用本益比25倍計算,股價上到5000元也不意外。目前對台積電最高的預測價格是8千元,如果成真,那台股大盤有機會看到10萬點。

鄭麗文日前率團訪美,針對與美國官員會面遭取消與降級接待等傳聞,表示一切都是空穴來風,吳嘉隆觀察,美國要確保國民黨裡面的親美派能夠壓過親中派,所以才降低鄭麗文的訪美行程規格。如果鄭主席真的要代表國民黨參選2028,幾乎等於保送賴清德連任。

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