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我们的消费,正在默认进入“生存模式”?

October 12, 2026 · 1 h 35 min

Show notes

👩🏻本期嘉宾:江东猫草Neko|「远行者与碎冰匠」主理人
7月科技行情闪崩之后,A股成交额从3万亿一路缩到1.5万亿,资金重新找方向,消费似乎也在逐渐回到投资者的视野——可我们翻开2026年上半年的宏观数据,就能感觉到矛盾扑面而来:GDP增长4.7%,居民人均可支配收入名义增长5.2%,社零涨了1.2%。数据在涨,但体感消费却依然冷冰冰,问题出在哪?
本期嘉宾是「远行者与碎冰匠」主理人江东猫草Neko。2016年,她因“人均GDP过8000美金”的信号转入消费研究,2024年10月离场,可以说是走完了中国消费从鲜花着锦到“生存模式”的近十年。她对中国消费的定调不留情面:总体就是降级,不能用“分级”来修饰。
但即使在“生存模式”里,水流也并不均匀:一头是小众专业越卖越贵、富人情绪企稳,高奢酒店回暖,“雅诗兰黛们”重回增长;另一头,产能利用率不足三分之二,白牌“受宠”,渠道不断压过生产……
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