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全球流动性见顶之后,细拆两条投资回报主线

September 28, 2026 · 1 h 2 min

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👨本期嘉宾:杨鑫斌|雪球资管投资总监、基金经理
北京时间9月17日凌晨,美联储宣布加息25个基点,将联邦基金利率目标区间上调至3.75%-4.00%,这是其自2023年7月以来的首次加息。至此,欧洲、日本、韩国和美国的央行已先后转向收紧。与此同时,布伦特原油仍在每桶100美元上下徘徊,10年期美债收益率逼近5%。紧缩压力传导到资产价格上:股票、债券、商品时常同步下跌,组合里原本用来对冲风险的资产也未能幸免。
这恰恰动摇了宏观对冲策略的根基。宏观对冲依靠资产之间的低相关性分散风险,一旦股债商同涨同跌成为常态,对冲便容易失效。纯多头配置还行得通吗?在海外加息周期里,收益又该从哪里来?本期节目,我们邀请到雪球资管投资总监、基金经理杨鑫斌,帮大家逐一拆解这两个问题。
要回答收益从哪里来,先得弄清楚紧缩从何而来。鑫斌认为,推高这一轮通胀的主要有两股力量:一是AI带来的投资扩张,科技巨头宁可举债也要继...去小宇宙查看完整单集简介
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