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能分析数据不等于真的理解宏观经济,但AI快做到了

June 8, 2026 · 1 h 22 min

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👨本期嘉宾:陈鹏|远澜基金合伙人、宏观量化投资经理
全球资产剧烈波动的这一年,宏观策略、尤其是宏观量化,正被越来越多的私募投资者重新关注。借助量化与AI的算法加成,这类策略被认为能更敏锐地捕捉市场信息,也更从容地应对极端行情。但对大多数投资者来说,宏观量化依然有点“看不懂”:它到底赚的是什么钱?很多人说,赚的是“概率的钱”——可这个“概率”,真的只是“赢面有多大”这么简单吗?
本期节目我们邀请到远澜基金合伙人、宏观量化投资经理陈鹏,从投资者最关心的地方聊起:量化是不是一个只看数据、每次都能押对的“黑箱”?为什么一支优秀的团队,盯的不是“做对时能多赚多少”,而是“做错的那40%怎么少亏”,甚至宁可不用号称90%胜率的策略?同样是看宏观,主观宏观会给你一个明确判断,宏观量化却只给出一串概率、靠数量去积累优势——两者差在哪,又该怎么选?
AI也是这期绕不开的话题:同样是地缘冲突,为什么俄乌之后黄...去小宇宙查看完整单集简介
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