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Oct 12: Could AI Break Bitcoin's Cryptography?

October 12, 2026 · 28 min

Show notes

Bitcoin is holding around $83,000 after testing $80K last week, but the bigger story today is the growing debate over whether artificial intelligence could eventually threaten the cryptography securing Bitcoin, Ethereum and much of the modern internet. Following a discussion on the All-In Podcast, Matt examines OpenAI's release of hundreds of AI-generated mathematical research manuscripts and why advances in mathematical discovery are raising questions among cryptographers. We explain how elliptic-curve cryptography protects private keys, why discovering a new mathematical shortcut could be more consequential than simply building faster computers, and the three possible outcomes ranging from continued security to a fundamental cryptographic breakthrough.


We also examine the distinction between AI-driven mathematical research and quantum computing, recent improvements to components of hypothetical quantum attacks, and Justin Drake's proposed precautions for wallets with exposed public keys. Vitalik Buterin's measured response highlights why the industry should investigate potential vulnerabilities without encouraging users to panic. Matt also explores the enormous challenges of migrating Bitcoin and Ethereum to new signature systems, the security implications for dormant wallets, and why AI-powered phishing, impersonation and social engineering may present more immediate threats than a mathematical breakthrough. Bitcoin remains near $83K, with $80K support and the $87K breakout level still in focus.


Happy HODLing

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