First Back-to-Back Tomorrow, Analytics vs. Eye Test & Syrcause Crunch Update | Lightning Power Lunch - October 22, 2026
Show notes
As the Tampa Bay Lightning prepare for their first back-to-back of the season with games against the Colorado Avalanche and Utah Mammoth, Dave Mishkin and Greg Linnelli discuss potential lineup changes, roster management, and what to expect from one of the toughest travel stretches of the early season. With questions surrounding Anthony Cirelli, Dominic James, Max Crozier, and Scott Sabourin, the conversation focuses on how the coaching staff may approach the upcoming games.
The guys also dive into one of hockey's hottest topics: analytics versus the eye test. Dave and Greg discuss how NHL teams use analytics internally, why some public metrics can be difficult to quantify, how coaches evaluate players beyond the box score, and what fans should consider when analyzing player performance.
Later, Lucas Favale, voice of the Syracuse Crunch, joins the show to provide an in-depth update on the Lightning's top prospects. The discussion includes Sam O'Reilly's development, his faceoff success in the AHL, the progress of Noah Steen, Lucas Mercuri, Dylan Duke, Tomas Kralovic, and the continued leadership of Jakob Pelletier in Syracuse.
Plus, thoughts on backup goalie usage during back-to-backs, Andrei Vasilevskiy's long-term future, the importance of faceoffs, and a look around the NHL involving Brady Tkachuk, Dylan Larkin, and player movement across the league.
Topics Discussed
- Preparing for the Lightning's first back-to-back of the season
- Potential lineup changes featuring Dominic James, Max Crozier and Scott Sabourin
- Analytics vs. the eye test in player evaluation
- How NHL teams use analytics internally
- Why public analytics don't always tell the full story
- Evaluating Gage Goncalves' impact beyond the scoresheet
- Turnovers, scoring chances and hockey analytics debate
- Syracuse Crunch season update
- Sam O'Reilly's development and faceoff success
- Noah Steen's adjustment to North American hockey
- Lucas Mercuri's physical style and NHL upside
- Dylan Duke's start to the AHL season
- Tomas Kralovic's emergence
- Jakob Pelletier's leadership and NHL aspirations
- The importance of playoff experience at the AHL level
- Managing goaltenders in back-to-back situations
- Andrei Vasilevskiy's long-term outlook
- Faceoffs and why they remain an important metric
- Brady Tkachuk's return to Ottawa
- Dylan Larkin and the challenges of trade requests
- Ron Duguay's impact on the game and legacy
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