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The Neo Lab Arms Race

February 20, 2026 · 1 h 14 min

Show notes

$126 billion in AI funding has been raised across 30+ "neo-labs". Most of them will fail.

Pierce and Rich map the landscape - from Thinking Machines' $12B valuation on vibes alone to Ilya's SSI. Plus: why OpenAI might be the Fairchild Semiconductor of AI, whether Stanford professors make good founders, and the Sauron's Eye problem of building in a frontier lab's blind spot.

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