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One Level Decides Bitcoin’s Bull Market

September 4, 2026 · 28 min

Show notes

In this episode, Nik covers the strong jobs report and whether it is enough to push the Fed toward a rate hike. He explains why the two-year yield near 4.38% shows the market pricing in hikes more aggressively than at any point since the election, and why he thinks the Treasury and the Fed will instead find a way to force front-end rates lower, given an interest burden approaching a quarter of tax revenue. Nik also covers the 4.81% level on the ten-year, why a flattening yield curve signals demand for safe assets rather than a debt spiral, why Europe worries him more than the United States, and the level bitcoin has to close above. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

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